Allan Nascimento vs Cody Durden Fight Predictions, 11/01/2025 UFC Vegas 110 Odds

Home » Allan Nascimento vs Cody Durden Fight Predictions, 11/01/2025 UFC Vegas 110 Odds
  • Allan Nascimento vs Cody Durden
  • UFC Vegas 110
  • UFC Apex in Las Vegas
  • Saturday, November 1, 2025

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Allan Nascimento is set to compete against Cody Durden at UFC Vegas 110 on Saturday, November 1, 2025. The initial betting odds feature Nascimento at -250, while Durden is placed at +210.

Allan “Puro Osso” Nascimento enters this match with a professional record of 21 wins and 6 losses. This 34-year-old fighter will compete in the flyweight division at 125 lbs and stands 5’8″ tall with a reach of 69 inches. On the other hand, Cody “Custom Made” Durden is 5’7″ and also weighs in at 125 lbs. The 34-year-old southpaw has a career record of 17 wins, 8 losses, and 1 draw, with an arm span of 67 inches. In terms of striking statistics, Nascimento connects approximately 2.64 significant strikes per minute, while Durden lands around 3.44 significant strikes per minute. Nascimento boasts a striking accuracy of 60%, in contrast to Durden’s 44%. When it comes to defense, Nascimento absorbs 1.96 significant strikes per minute, whereas Durden takes 4.35. Both fighters successfully defend against 50% of the significant strikes thrown at them.

UFC picks Cody Durden predictions best bet odds
UFC Vegas 110 Allan Nascimento Cody Durden
Opening Odds -250 +210
Record 21-6-0 17-8-1
Average Fight Time 12:39 9:30
Height 5’8″ 5’7″
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 69″ 67″
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.64 3.44
Striking Accuracy 60% 44%

When analyzing wrestling skills, Allan Nascimento is slightly less effective, securing takedowns at a rate of 1.42 times per 15 minutes, with a success rate of 24% on his takedown attempts. He defends 30% of his opponent’s takedown attempts. In contrast, Durden is more proficient, landing takedowns 47% of the time while defending 73% of his opponents’ attempts. Nascimento averages 0.9 submission attempts per 15 minutes, while Durden averages 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds.

In his most recent fight, Allan Nascimento faced Jafel Filho, winning by unanimous decision in the third round. In that bout, Filho executed 40 out of 63 attempted strikes, while Nascimento succeeded with 30 out of 58 total attempts. For significant strikes, Filho landed 14 out of 30, yielding a 46% accuracy rate, and landed 7 out of 20 aimed at the head. Nascimento, however, connected on 50% of his significant strikes, hitting 12 out of 24, with 3 out of 12 aimed at the head. Notably, 42% of Filho’s significant strikes and 75% of Nascimento’s were thrown from a distance.

During Cody Durden’s last appearance in the Octagon, he fought Jose Ochoa, suffering a defeat due to a punch to the head in round 2. Ochoa managed to connect on 80% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance, while Durden achieved an 88% connection rate at distance, landing 21% of his overall strikes with 9 out of 41 total attempts. Ochoa landed 30 out of 79 significant strikes in that matchup, achieving an accuracy of 18 out of 42 aimed at the head. In total strikes, Ochoa executed 52 out of 107, while Durden hit only 12 out of 47 thrown.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another intriguing matchup to monitor is Billy Elekana facing Kevin Christian. Elekana enters with a record of 8-2-0, weighing 205 lbs and standing at 6’3″ tall with a wingspan of 77 inches. Christian, measuring 6’7″ and weighing 205 lbs, holds a record of 9-2-0. In terms of grappling statistics, Elekana averages 0.64 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Christian achieves 0.20 takedowns per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Elekana lands 2.34 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 57%. Conversely, Kevin Christian connects 35% of his strikes, landing an average of 0.75 per minute.

If you’re tuning into the fights, be sure not to miss ChangHo Lee as he faces Timmy Cuamba. Cuamba enters this fight with a record of 9-3-0, weighing 135 lbs and standing 5’9″ tall. Meanwhile, Lee, sporting an 11-1-0 record, is 5’8″ and also weighs 135 lbs. Cuamba has managed to thwart 80% of opponent takedowns and completes 26% of his attempts, while Lee completes 33% of his attempts and defends against 37% of all takedown attempts. Regarding strike statistics, Cuamba absorbs 4.30 strikes per minute, connecting on 3.12, while Lee takes 2.35 strikes per minute and connects on 4.92.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC match against the spread?

Pick: Take Cody Durden (+210)

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Pick: Cody Durden (+210)
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