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Match: Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union
Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
Venue: Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Broadcast: MLS Season Pass
The Philadelphia Union (14-4-5) are heading to Shell Energy Stadium in Houston, TX this Saturday to face off against the Dynamo (7-5-11). Houston is listed at +125 on the odds while the Union are favorites at -145. The over/under for total goals is set at 3. The predicted starting goalkeepers are Jonathan Bond for Houston and Andre Blake for Philadelphia.

Currently, the Dynamo ranks 23rd in expected goals with a total of 28.6, while their expected goals against tally stands at 31.1. Houston has conceded 38 goals, averaging 1.65 goals against per 90 minutes, and they have faced 99 shots on target so far. Their goal differential sits at -9, with 29 goals scored against 38 conceded. The team has achieved 8 shutouts, translating to a clean sheet percentage of 34.8% for this season. The Dynamo have accumulated 60 saves, achieving a save rate of 61.6%. This season, they’ve received a total of 61 yellow cards and 2 red cards, resulting in an average of 1.13 points per match (26 points) and a league rank of 17th with 20 assists.
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The Philadelphia Union have netted a total of 39 goals with an expected goals figure of 37.4. Their goals against average is impressive at 0.96 per 90 minutes, complemented by 44 saves and 9 clean sheets this season. The Union boast a save percentage of 66.7% (66 shots on target faced) and currently lead the league with 46 points. They have allowed just 22 goals, showcasing the best defensive record in the league, resulting in a goal differential of +17. Philadelphia’s clean sheet percentage stands at 39.1%, and they have received 62 yellow cards along with 2 red cards. They average an impressive 2.0 points per match and have registered 31 assists.
In goal for Houston is Jonathan Bond. Throughout his professional career, Bond has played a total of 9,249 minutes and recorded 325 saves. His career record stands at 38 wins, 28 draws, and 38 losses, with 20 shutouts reflecting a shutout rate of 19.5%. The English goalkeeper faced 496 shots across 104 career appearances, yielding a goals against average of 1.68 (173 total goals conceded) and a save percentage of 65.5%.
Philadelphia’s netminder, Andre Blake, has a career tally of 309 goals conceded and 777 saves across 260 starts. Blake has accumulated 81 shutouts while facing 1,084 shots in 23,156 career minutes, achieving a save percentage of 71.7% along with a shutout rate of 31.5%. He has an average of 1.20 goals against per 90 minutes and a career record of 117 wins, 63 draws, and 80 losses.
Ezequiel Ponce is a key player to watch for Houston. Having started 30 matches in his professional career, Ponce averages 0.43 goals per 90 minutes played. The Argentine forward has struck 12 goals in 2,541 minutes of action and has provided 1 assist, totaling 25 career points.
On the Philadelphia side, Tai Baribo is a notable impact player that defenders will need to watch closely. He averages 0.73 goals per 90 minutes and has started in 32 matches throughout his professional career. The Israeli forward has accrued 2,859 minutes on the pitch, scoring 23 goals, contributing to 49 points, and providing 3 assists.
Who will prevail in today’s soccer match against the spread?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Bet on Houston Dynamo (-145)
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