Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Game Prediction, 11/16/2025 NFL Picks, Top Bets & Odds Week 11

Home » Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Game Prediction, 11/16/2025 NFL Picks, Top Bets & Odds Week 11

  • Matchup: Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans
  • Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
  • Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
  • Broadcast: FOX
  • Betting Line: Titans (+7.5)
  • Total Points Over/Under: 39.5

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Nissan Stadium will host the Tennessee Titans (1-8) as they aim to upset the Houston Texans (4-5) this Sunday. The Texans enter the match as 7.5-point favorites, with the total set at 39.5.

The Houston Texans bring a 4-5 record into the game. In their most recent match against the Jacksonville Jaguars, they celebrated a 36-29 victory. Quarterback Davis Mills completed 27 of 45 passes for 292 yards, contributing two touchdowns and recording a quarterback rating of 84.7, although he did throw one interception. The rushing game was highlighted by Woody Marks, who carried the ball 14 times for 63 yards (4.5 yards per carry). Nick Chubb added an average of 5.0 yards on a single reception, accounting for 5 yards. The Texans rushed a total of 22 times for 130 yards, yielding an impressive average of 5.9 yards. Over the course of the game, they executed 67 plays and accumulated 412 total yards. On defense, Houston allowed the Jaguars to complete 13 of 23 passes for 119 yards, achieving a completion percentage of 56.5%. The Texans’ front line also conceded 94 yards on 27 carries, averaging 3.5 yards per rush allowed.

NFL Picks: Houston Texans Predictions and Odds

This season, the Texans have tallied 2,981 total yards, with 103 first downs on offense and 67 penalties resulting in 536 yards. Houston has scored 13 touchdowns through the air and 5 on the ground. They’ve turned the ball over 9 times (6 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). On average, they’re accruing 111.2 rushing yards per game, ranking them 22nd in the league. In terms of points, the AFC team’s average stands at 22.7 per game.

Defensively, the Texans have yielded 1,539 passing yards, ranking 4th in the league. They allow 171.0 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 56.7%. On the ground, the Texans have permitted 813 rushing yards throughout the season, conceding 9 touchdowns via the pass and 8 on the ground. Their defense gives up an average of 261.3 total yards per game, placing them first in the NFL. Opponents are running for an average of 3.9 yards per carry and 90.3 rushing yards per game. Remarkably, the Texans rank first in the league for their defensive performance, allowing just 16.7 points per game.

The Titans head into this matchup with a struggling 1-8 record. In their last contest against the Los Angeles Chargers, they faced a 27-20 defeat. Quarterback Cam Ward finished with 145 yards, completing 12 of 21 passes for a quarterback rating of 78.5, without any interceptions, averaging 6.9 yards per attempt. Running back Tony Pollard had a solid game with 10 carries for 56 yards, averaging 5.6 yards per attempt. Elic Ayomanor led the receiving corps with 3 receptions for 46 yards (an average of 15.3 yards per catch). The Titans managed 88 rushing yards on 19 carries, resulting in an average of 4.6 yards. They finished with 206 total yards from 40 offensive plays, averaging 5.2 yards per play. On the defensive side, the Titans allowed a completion rate of 65.5%, yielding 212 yards through the air with 19 completions on 29 attempts. In the rushing game, they conceded 131 yards on 30 attempts, averaging 4.4 yards per carry.

Analyzing their scoring ability, the Titans rank dead last in the league, averaging only 14.4 points per game. This season, they’ve accumulated 1,465 yards through the air, averaging 162.8 passing yards per game, which places them 31st in the NFL. On the ground, Tennessee has averaged 81.2 rushing yards per game, totaling 731 yards on the season. Overall, they rank 32nd in total offensive yards, averaging 244.0 yards per game. The Titans have committed 61 penalties resulting in 474 yards, ranking 21st in the league in penalties. Offensively, they’ve also recorded 6 interceptions and 7 lost fumbles, securing only 88 first downs.

On the defensive front, the Titans allow an average of 28.6 points per game, landing them in the 30th position in the NFL. They have surrendered 14 touchdown passes and 215.3 passing yards per game, ranking 17th in this category. On the ground, Tennessee has permitted a total of 1,272 rushing yards, averaging 141.3 yards per game, along with 15 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has participated in 550 scrimmage plays, ranking 10th overall. They have recorded 10 turnovers (5 forced fumbles and 5 interceptions) this year, conceding a total of 257 points.

Who will triumph in this Texans-Titans NFL showdown against the spread?

Expert Prediction: Texans -7.5

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Pick: Houston Texans -7.5
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