New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction and NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds for Week 11 on 11/13/2025

Home » New York Jets vs New England Patriots Prediction and NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds for Week 11 on 11/13/2025

  • Matchup: New York Jets vs New England Patriots
  • Date: Thursday, November 13, 2025
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
  • Broadcast: Prime Video
  • Betting Odds: Patriots (-11.5)
  • Total Points: 43.5

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The New York Jets (2-7) are set to battle the New England Patriots (8-2) at Gillette Stadium this Thursday. The Patriots enter this contest as heavy favorites, with a point spread of 11.5. The total points for the game is set at 43.5.

Currently sporting a record of 2-7, the Jets recently achieved a win over the Cleveland Browns, finalizing the game at 27-20. Breece Hall spearheaded the Jets’ ground game with 21 carries for 83 yards, averaging 4.0 yards per attempt. Isaiah Davis contributed minimally with 1 yard gained on a single reception. Quarterback Justin Fields completed 6 of 11 passes for 54 yards, throwing 1 touchdown and 1 interception, resulting in a quarterback rating of 60.4. The Jets’ defense allowed 158 rushing yards on 32 carries, averaging 4.9 yards per rush, while yielding 120 yards through the air with a 53.1% completion rate. In total, New York ran 44 plays, accumulating 169 yards. Overall, the Jets rushed 33 times for 127 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per attempt.

NFL predictions Breece Hall New York Jets best bets odds

In terms of scoring, the Jets average 21.7 points per game and currently rank 4th in the league with an average of 141.8 rushing yards per outing. The team has amassed 2,570 total yards this season, converting 77 first downs and committing 60 penalties for 479 yards. They’ve lost the ball 11 times (4 interceptions and 7 fumbles) and scored 10 passing touchdowns along with 6 rushing touchdowns.

Defensively, the Jets have conceded 1,717 passing yards this season, ranking them 6th overall, with an average of 190.8 passing yards allowed per game and a 62.3% completion rate. They’ve surrendered a total of 1,244 rushing yards across their nine matchups this season. In terms of touchdowns allowed, New York has given up 17 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing touchdowns. They rank 19th in the league by allowing an average of 329.0 yards per game and 26.8 points per game, placing them 26th in defensive performance.

The Patriots boast a solid 8-2 record this season. In their most recent matchup, they triumphed over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, finishing 28-23. Quarterback Drake Maye threw for 270 yards, completing 16 of 31 passes with 2 touchdowns, 1 interception, and an 89.4 QB rating. He averaged 8.7 yards per attempt. Star receiver Stefon Diggs made 5 receptions for 46 yards. Running back TreVeyon Henderson had a standout game, rushing 14 times for 147 yards, averaging a staggering 10.5 yards per carry. The Patriots totaled 435 yards from 58 plays, averaging 7.5 yards per play. They rushed for 166 yards on 27 attempts, averaging 6.1 yards per carry, while the defense gave up 113 rushing yards on 21 attempts.

Analyzing the scoring potential, the Patriots rank 8th in the NFL, averaging 26.5 points per game. This season, they have compiled 2,414 passing yards with an average of 241.4 passing yards per game, placing them 8th in that category. Their rushing attack averages 117.7 yards per game, totaling 1,177 yards. Overall, New England’s offensive performance is rated 10th in the league with an average of 359.1 total yards per game. They’ve incurred 72 penalties, resulting in 565 yards, which is also 8th in the league for penalties. They have thrown 5 interceptions and fumbled 7 times, achieving 117 first downs.

On the defensive side, the Patriots have allowed 18 passing touchdowns and an average of 227.0 passing yards per game, ranking 21st in the league. They have given up 792 rushing yards (79.2 yards per game) and 3 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has recorded 11 takeaways (4 forced fumbles and 7 interceptions). To date, they have surrendered 192 total points, ranking 15th in plays from scrimmage with 563 total plays. The Patriots are limiting opponents to an average of 19.2 points per game, placing them 6th overall.

Will the Jets pull off an upset against the spread tonight?

Prediction: Take the Jets +11.5

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Pick: New York Jets +11.5
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