- Matchup: Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
- Venue: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
- Broadcast: NFL Network, NFL+
- Betting Line: Dolphins favored by 2.5 points
- Over/Under: 47.5 points
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The Washington Commanders (3-7) will face off against the Miami Dolphins (3-7) at the iconic Santiago Bernabeu on Sunday. The oddsmakers have the Dolphins opening as 2.5-point favorites, with the total set at 47.5 points.
Coming into this matchup, the Washington Commanders own a record of 3-7 for the season. Their most recent outing ended in a 44-22 loss to the Detroit Lions. Quarterback Marcus Mariota had a successful performance, completing 16 of 22 passes for 213 yards and 2 touchdowns, yielding a quarterback rating of 133.3 without any interceptions. On the ground, Jacory Croskey-Merritt led with 11 carries for 30 yards (averaging 2.7 yards per carry). Robbie Chosen made an impact in the passing game, catching 1 pass for 17 yards (17.0 yards per reception). The team combined for 27 rushing attempts, totaling 93 yards at an average of 3.4 yards per carry, while running a total of 49 plays for 288 yards. Defensively, Washington allowed 25 completions on 35 attempts totaling 320 yards (71.4% completion rate) and gave up 226 rushing yards on 33 attempts (6.8 yards per rush).
When it comes to scoring, NFC East teams average 22.3 points per game. Washington averages 135.2 rushing yards per game, ranking them 7th in the NFL. They have amassed a total of 3,253 yards this season, recording 90 first downs and committing 72 penalties for a loss of 612 yards. The Commanders have surrendered the ball 12 times (6 interceptions and 6 fumbles) and have scored 14 touchdowns via the pass and 12 rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, the Commanders find themselves struggling. They rank 29th in the league, allowing an average of 28.0 points per game. Opposing teams are averaging 4.6 yards per rush and 134.4 yards per game on the ground. In the passing game, Washington has given up 2,602 yards, ranking them at the bottom (32nd). Their pass defense allows a completion rate of 67.9%, contributing to an average of 394.6 total yards allowed per game (30th in the league). This includes 22 passing touchdowns and 9 rushing touchdowns, resulting in 1,344 yards on the ground allowed over 10 games.
The Miami Dolphins also stand at 3-7 this season. Their last game resulted in a 30-13 victory over the Buffalo Bills. Running back De’Von Achane had an impressive outing, rushing the ball 22 times for 174 yards (7.9 yards per carry). Achane was also effective in the passing game, catching 6 passes for 51 yards (8.5 yards per reception). Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa threw for 173 yards on 15 completions out of 21 attempts, recording 2 touchdowns and a rating of 88.1 alongside 2 interceptions. Miami’s defense allowed 22 rush attempts for 87 yards (4.0 yards per carry) and gave up 289 passing yards on 28 completions from 40 attempts (70.0% completion). Overall, the Dolphins gained 370 total yards on 53 plays, averaging 7.0 yards per play with a rushing average of 6.2 yards per carry from 32 attempts totaling 197 yards.
This season, the Miami Dolphins are averaging 299.3 yards per game, placing them 25th in the league. With an average of 107.2 rushing yards per game and a season total of 1,072 rushing yards, they rank 13th in the NFL for passing yards allowed per game. They have recorded 13 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles, along with 108 first downs. Miami’s offense has committed 63 penalties for 523 yards, putting them 13th in terms of surrendering free yards. They have accumulated a total of 1,921 passing yards, averaging 192.1 per game, which ranks them 24th. In terms of scoring, the Dolphins sit 26th in the league with an average of 21.0 points per game.
The Dolphins’ defense has allowed 17 passing touchdowns and yields 207.2 yards through the air on average, ranking them 13th in the NFL. They’ve allowed a total of 1,397 rushing yards (139.7 yards per game) and 10 rushing touchdowns this season, while also forcing 10 turnovers (8 forced fumbles and 2 interceptions). Overall, they have surrendered 256 points this season, ranking their defensive performance at 23rd in the league with an average of 25.6 points allowed per game.
Who will emerge victorious in the Commanders vs. Dolphins matchup?
Expert Prediction: Choose the Dolphins -2.5
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