- Matchup: New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals
- Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: CBS
- Betting Odds: Bengals (+7.5)
- Total Points Over/Under: 49.5
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Paycor Stadium will host the clash between the Cincinnati Bengals (3-7) and the New England Patriots (9-2) this Sunday. The Patriots enter the game favored by 7.5 points according to sportsbooks, with the total set at 49.5.
The New England Patriots come into this matchup with an impressive record of 9-2 this season. In their previous game, they faced the New York Jets, securing a victory with a score of 27-14. Quarterback Drake Maye completed 25 of 34 passes for 281 yards and 1 touchdown, achieving a QB rating of 107.6 without throwing an interception. Stefon Diggs was a standout receiver, amassing 105 yards on 9 receptions, while TreVeyon Henderson led the rushing attack with 19 carries for 62 yards, averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Overall, the Patriots executed 61 plays for a total of 336 yards, rushing the ball 27 times for only 65 yards, at a rate of 2.4 yards per carry. On defense, they allowed 140 yards on 28 rushing attempts, giving an average of 5.0 yards per run. New England permitted 15 completions on 27 attempts, yielding 105 passing yards and a completion percentage of 55.6%.

In terms of scoring, the Patriots are averaging 26.5 points per game. Their rushing offense, averaging 112.9 yards per game, ranks 20th in the league. New England has accumulated a total of 3,927 offensive yards this season, with 133 first downs but suffering from 74 penalties totaling 585 yards. They have turned the ball over 12 times this season (5 interceptions and 7 fumbles), while finding the end zone with 20 touchdown passes and 12 rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, the Patriots have allowed 2,375 passing yards, ranking them 25th in the NFL. They concede 215.9 passing yards per game with a completion rate against of 67.6%. So far in 11 games, they’ve given up 932 rushing yards, allowing 19 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns on the ground. Overall, their defense stands 8th in the league, conceding an average of 300.6 yards per game and 3.9 yards per carry, while ranking 5th by allowing just 18.7 points per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals are coming into this contest with a 3-7 record. In their last outing, they suffered a defeat against the Pittsburgh Steelers, losing 34-12. Quarterback Joe Flacco had 199 passing yards on 23-of-40 attempts, finishing with 1 touchdown, one interception, and a quarterback rating of 68.6. Chase Brown was the leading receiver, catching 6 passes for just 28 yards, while also contributing significantly in the run game with 18 carries for 99 yards, averaging 5.5 yards per attempt. The Bengals’ offense managed 297 total yards on 62 plays, averaging 4.8 yards per play. On the ground, they averaged 4.8 yards per carry, finishing with 105 rushing yards on 22 attempts. The defense allowed 28 running plays for 111 yards (4.0 yards per carry) and the secondary conceded a 67.7% completion rate, allowing 232 yards on 21 of 31 attempts.
Looking at their scoring capabilities, the Bengals rank 18th in the league, averaging 22.8 points per game. They have compiled 2,257 passing yards this season, averaging 225.7 passing yards per game, which puts them at 14th in the league. Their rushing game averages 81.4 yards per game, leading to a total of 814 rushing yards. Overall, Cincinnati averages 307.1 yards per contest, which ranks 23rd in the league. Unfortunately, they rank 30th in helping their opponents with 385 total yards on 55 penalties. The offense has given up 11 interceptions and lost 5 fumbles while recording 115 total first downs.
Defensively, the Bengals rank 32nd, allowing 33.4 points per game. They have surrendered 25 touchdowns through the air, averaging 257.3 passing yards against per game, which ranks 31st. On the ground, Cincinnati has given up 1,609 rushing yards (160.9 yards per game) and 12 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has seen action on 660 plays, ranking them 27th, and has forced a total of 9 turnovers (1 fumble and 8 interceptions), leading to a total of 334 points allowed.
Who will emerge victorious in this Patriots-Bengals matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Patriots -7.5
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