Matchup: Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago Cubs
Date: Wednesday, July 23, 2025
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Marquee Network
Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+126) Chicago (-152)
Wrigley Field will host the clash as the Chicago Cubs (59-41) take on the Kansas City Royals (49-52) this Wednesday. The moneyline shows Kansas City at +126 and Chicago at -152. The total runs over/under is set at 9, featuring pitchers Seth Lugo and Colin Rea on the mound.
The Royals boast a slugging percentage of .379 and have recorded 691 strikeouts while walking 237 times. They’ve tallied 349 RBIs and accumulated 831 hits, culminating in a batting average of .245. As a unit, the Royals have hit 179 doubles and 81 home runs, totaling 355 runs, with an on-base percentage of .300. Currently, Kansas City averages 3.5 runs per game, placing them 29th in the league.
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Currently, the Royals maintain a team ERA of 3.49, ranking 2nd in the MLB with 820 strikeouts. This season, Royals pitchers have surrendered 103 home runs and allowed 375 total runs (also 2nd in baseball). Their staff has issued 297 walks this year, with a FIP of 3.84. Kansas City has allowed 794 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) along with 348 earned runs, achieving a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.76 and a collective WHIP of 1.22.
The Royals’ bullpen showcases a save rate of 69.0%, having faced 94 save opportunity situations. With 138 inherited runners, 31.2% managed to score. The bullpen has faced 328 unique relief situations this season, achieving 51 holds and 29 saves while failing to convert 13 out of 42 save opportunities.
Fielding-wise, the Royals excel by converting 71.1% of balls in play into outs, positioning them 8th in the MLB. The Houston Astros record includes 2,692 putouts, 899 assists, and 43 errors, maintaining a .988 fielding percentage, earning the 6th spot in professional baseball, alongside 77 double plays.
Lugo, with a career win-loss record of 62-45, holds a FIP of 3.28 across 3,914 batters faced. He has given up 842 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per 9 innings), issued 252 walks, and owns an impressive earned run average of 3.33 over 954 innings pitched, notching 922 strikeouts in his career.
The Chicago Cubs, on the other hand, have a .324 on-base percentage and a team batting average of .256 this season. They’ve experienced 771 strikeouts (26th in baseball) with 883 hits overall. The Cubs have hit a total of 150 home runs and collected 516 RBIs, achieving a slugging percentage of .447 with an average of 5.27 runs per game (ranking 2nd in MLB). They have also recorded 171 doubles, walked 340 times, and scored 527 runs.
As for their pitching statistics, the Cubs’ team WHIP is currently at 1.229, with a FIP of 4.23. Ranking 16th in hits allowed, the staff has yielded 827 hits while conceding 412 runs and holding a team ERA of 3.87 (383 earned runs allowed). The strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.60 (750 strikeouts against 268 walks). They conceded 124 home runs while allowing 4.16 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).
The Cubs’ bullpen has been called upon during 35 save opportunities, successfully collecting 24 saves. They sit at 7th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.6%, deploying 330 relievers throughout the season. These pitchers have entered high-leverage situations 100 times and with runners on base 70 times, managing a 29.2% score rate for 96 inherited runners. The Cubs have garnered 63 holds with 11 blown saves over their 101 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Cubs have executed 81 double plays and achieved a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in MLB). With 843 assists and 40 errors, they have recorded 2,675 putouts throughout this season. The Cubs have played 8,025 innings on the field, earning a defensive efficiency rating of 71.3% (6th in baseball).
Rea has allowed 529 hits in his career, recording 436 strikeouts across 543 innings. He has given up 268 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.278 and a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.64, having faced 2,307 opponents during his MLB tenure. Rea’s career win-loss record stands at 34-23, with a 4.44 earned run average while conceding 8.8 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB encounter, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Choose Kansas City (+126)
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