Prediction for Little Rock Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats on 11/21/2025: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Prediction for Little Rock Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats on 11/21/2025: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Little Rock Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats
  • Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
  • Venue: Strahan Arena, University Events Center, San Marcos, TX
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Texas State Bobcats (4-2) host the Little Rock Trojans (2-3) at Strahan Arena in San Marcos this Friday.

College Basketball Predictions for Texas State Bobcats

In their previous outing, the Little Rock Trojans faced off against Murray State and suffered a defeat, concluding the game at 89-68. Little Rock managed a field goal percentage of 44.3% (27 of 61) and made 2 of their 6 attempts from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they converted 12 of 16, achieving a percentage of 75.0%. On the boards, the Trojans collected 33 rebounds, with 14 being offensive. They registered 11 assists, 9 turnovers, and 5 steals throughout the match. Defensively, they allowed their opponents a shooting percentage of 50.9% from the floor with Murray State shooting 29 for 57. Additionally, Murray State recorded 15 assists and made 7 steals. They managed to secure 29 rebounds (10 offensive, 19 defensive) but did not record any blocks. Murray State finished the game with a free throw success rate of 73.9%, hitting 17 of 23 attempts and successfully converting 14 of their 30 attempts from three-point territory. In terms of fouls, Little Rock committed 19 while Murray State totaled 17.

Johnathan Lawson played a pivotal role in the game, shooting 42.9% from the field and dishing out 5 assists. He was on the court for 33 minutes, securing 6 rebounds and finishing the game with 17 points on 6 of 14 shooting.

The Little Rock Trojans enter this contest with a record of 2-3 for the season. They average 17.4 turnovers per game and commit 17.0 personal fouls per contest. As a team, they are grabbing 33.6 rebounds and have a total of 72 assists this season, ranking 158th in Division 1 for assists. The Trojans are hitting 46.3% from three-point land (31 of 67) and 58.7% from the free-throw line. They are averaging 69.8 points per game, placing them 311th nationally, while shooting 47.4% from the field.

Defensively, the Trojans force an average of 12.8 turnovers each game and draw 15.8 fouls. They rank 288th in Division 1 in assists allowed, giving up 76 this season. The Trojans’ defense allows a shooting percentage of 48.6% (138 of 284) and gives up 29.2 rebounds per game. They surrender 41.5% from beyond the arc and rank 277th in points allowed per game (79.0).

In their last game, the Texas State Bobcats emerged victorious against Abilene Christian with a final score of 63-49. They cumulatively grabbed 33 rebounds (23 defensive and 10 offensive). The Bobcats had 18 turnovers but recorded 11 steals during the matchup. Abilene Christian committed 19 fouls, which sent the Bobcats to the free-throw line 22 times, converting 16 for a free throw percentage of 72.7%. Texas State shot 21 for 46 from the floor, achieving a field goal percentage of 45.7%. They allowed Abilene Christian to shoot 17 out of 55 from the field, translating to a shooting percentage of 30.9 for the game. They scored 33.3% from three-point range, hitting 5 of 15 shots, and finished with a free throw percentage of 52.6% by making 10 of 19 attempts. Texas State allowed Abilene Christian to collect a total of 27 rebounds (12 offensive).

Dimp Pernell was significant for the Bobcats, shooting 4 of 6 for a shooting percentage of 66.7% while securing 2 rebounds. He accumulated 13 points in 19 minutes of play and contributed 2 assists.

Texas State currently holds a record of 4-2 this season. Offensively, the Bobcats have an impressive shooting percentage of 47.6% from the field, ranking them 107th nationally. They have scored a total of 453 points this season (averaging 75.5 per game) and collect 37.0 rebounds per game. They are assisting their teammates 13.3 times per game, ranking 244th in Division 1, and averaging 14.5 turnovers per contest. The Bobcats have committed 18.7 fouls per game and are shooting 75.6% from the free-throw line.

On defense, the Bobcats rank 81st in the nation, allowing an average of 67.0 points per game. They force 14.2 turnovers each game and permit opponents to shoot 39.8% from the field (ranking 100th in college basketball). The Texas State defense limits teams to 32.5% shooting from three-point territory (39 of 120), while opponents convert 71.1% of their free-throw attempts. They average 9.8 assists and 31.0 rebounds allowed per game, ranking 35th and 60th in those statistics, respectively.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA game against the spread?

Prediction: Support Little Rock

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Pick: Little Rock Trojans
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