Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds, Predictions, Best Bets & NHL Picks for 11/22/2025

Home » Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds, Predictions, Best Bets & NHL Picks for 11/22/2025

  • Matchup: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Venue: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
  • Broadcast: Monumental Sports Network
  • Betting Odds: Lightning (-160), Capitals (+132)

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The Capital One Arena will host an exciting matchup as the Washington Capitals (10-8-2) face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-7-2) this Saturday. The Lightning are favored with a moneyline of -160, while the Capitals are at +132. The total for this game is set at 6.5.

NHL Picks featuring Jake Guentzel and Tampa Bay Lightning

The Tampa Bay Lightning left their last game with a boost of confidence after a 5-1 victory over the Devils. In that game, they spent 10 minutes in the penalty box and converted 2 out of 3 power play opportunities. Their offensive display was strong, converting 5 out of 29 shots.

During even strength situations, the Lightning have conceded 47 goals while scoring 49. Their opponents have enjoyed 63 power play chances (ranking 14th in the league), resulting in 9 goals. Offensively, Tampa Bay has netted 59 goals, placing them 20th in the NHL, while allowing 56. With a total of 509 shots and an 11.6% shooting percentage, they currently have 22 points and a points percentage of .579. They’ve faced 529 shots against, achieving a save percentage of .894. Tampa Bay has had 62 power play opportunities, converting 10 for a success rate of 16.13%.

Starting in goal for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over his professional career, Vasilevskiy has allowed 1,371 goals, with a goals against average of 2.52 per game. He has participated in 554 games, boasting a .917 save percentage over 28,654 minutes played. His career record stands at 338-168-37 with 544 starts. Vasilevskiy has also achieved 315 quality starts, yielding a quality start percentage of .579. He has faced 16,478 shots, achieving 15,107 total saves.

In their previous outing, Washington triumphed over the Oilers, scoring 7 goals to 4. The Capitals had 21 shots, converting 7 into goals but failed to score on their lone power play opportunity.

At even strength, the Capitals have scored 52 goals, while managing 8 (ranking 29th in the league) during power plays. They have taken 586 shots (10th in the league) with a shooting percentage of 10.24%, while allowing 530 shots against. This season, Washington has achieved 60 total goals, earning 22 points and a points percentage of .550. In total, they have allowed 51 goals, including 33 at even strength and 18 while down a player. The Capitals have had 58 power play opportunities, with a rate of 13.79%, and their penalty kill stands at 72.31%, thwarting opponents on 65 tries. Their save percentage is 90.4%.

On the opposite end, Logan Thompson is likely to guard the net. Opponents average 2.63 goals against him, totaling 397 goals conceded in his career. Thompson boasts a quality start rate of 61.6%, with 93 quality starts under his belt. He has been the starter in 151 games and has logged 7,773 minutes on the ice. His career record is 95-43-18, and he has made 4,124 saves out of 4,521 shots, resulting in a .912 save percentage.

Will tonight’s NHL matchup see a winner against the spread or on the moneyline?

Prediction: Pick Washington (+132) and under 6.5 goals

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Pick: Washington Capitals (+132) and under 6.5 goals
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