Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Philadelphia (-145)
This Tuesday, Citizens Bank Park is set to host an exciting clash between the Philadelphia Phillies (63-48) and the Baltimore Orioles (51-61). The odds favor the Phillies at -145, while the Orioles are positioned at +125 on the moneyline. The over/under is pegged at 9 runs, with Dean Kremer and Taijuan Walker slated as the starting pitchers for this game.
The Orioles carry a slugging percentage of .409, having struck out 963 times and walked 308 times this season. They’ve amassed a total of 463 RBIs through 913 hits, with a team batting average resting at .243. The team has recorded 186 doubles and launched 137 home runs, scoring a total of 489 runs with an on-base percentage of .308. Baltimore’s average scoring stands at 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 15th across the league.
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Baltimore’s pitching staff boasts a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and a WHIP of 1.41. The Orioles’ pitchers have given up 154 home runs and 558 runs this season (ranking 27th in the league). They have recorded 1,015 hits allowed, yielding an average of 9.3 hits per 9 innings, and 527 earned runs. Their season ERA stands at 4.82, placing them 27th overall, and they have struck out 916 batters. This year, the staff has issued 369 walks, with a FIP of 4.52.
The Orioles’ bullpen has a save rate of 65.9%, appearing in 121 save situations. So far, they have inherited 155 base runners, with 19.4% scoring. They have faced 115 instances with runners on and have held 118 high-pressure appearances. Baltimore has sent 385 relievers to the mound this season, accumulating 77 holds, which ranks 3rd in the league. They have converted 27 saves out of 41 opportunities.
On defense, the Orioles convert 68.0% of balls in play into outs out of 8,850 innings, positioning them 28th in Major League Baseball. The Atlanta Braves lead the league with 2,950 putouts, complemented by 979 assists and 60 errors, which gives them a fielding percentage of .985, currently 20th in the majors, along with 79 double plays.
Kremer has pitched 626 innings in his career, recording 540 strikeouts overall. With a career record of 38-37, he has a FIP of 4.22 and has faced 2,656 batters. He has an ERA of 4.28, allowing 298 earned runs and holding a WHIP of 1.308, with an average of 8.7 hits allowed per nine innings and 211 walks issued.
The Philadelphia Phillies have maintained an on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .254 throughout the season. They have faced 893 strikeouts (20th in MLB) and compiled 956 hits. This year, Philadelphia has hit 129 home runs and has accounted for 493 RBIs, carrying a slugging percentage of .412 while averaging 4.65 runs per game (9th in baseball). They have achieved 181 doubles, recorded 375 walks, and have put up 516 runs.
As a pitching staff, the Phillies carry a WHIP of 1.249 and a collective FIP of 3.73 this season. Their K/BB ratio stands impressively at 9.30, with 1,017 strikeouts against 311 walks. They are 19th in the league regarding total hits allowed (923) and have given up 124 home runs, allowing 4.08 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). This season, the Phillies’ pitchers have conceded 448 runs while sporting a team ERA of 3.79 (416 earned runs allowed).
Philadelphia’s bullpen has an inherited score rate of 32.4% from 105 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have entered high-pressure scenarios 114 times, in addition to 73 appearances with runners on base. With 95 save situations accounted for, the Phillies have recorded 48 holds and have had 17 blown saves. They rank 15th in the league with a save rate of 63.0%, sending 341 bullpen pitchers to the mound throughout the season. In 46 save opportunities, they have secured 29 saves.
The Philadelphia Phillies have executed 74 double plays and possess a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in MLB). They have logged 957 assists, committed 42 errors, and registered 2,965 putouts so far this year. With 8,895 innings played defensively, the Phillies maintain a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in the majors).
In his career, Walker has allowed 1,153 hits while achieving 1,058 strikeouts over 1,227 innings pitched. With a career record of 75-68, he holds a 4.17 ERA and permits 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up 569 earned runs, alongside a WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 2.54, having faced 5,203 batters throughout his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Take Philadelphia (-145)
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