Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros
Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
Venue: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Broadcast: Space City Home Network
Betting Odds: Boston (+125) Houston (-150)
This Monday, Daikin Park will host an exciting clash between the Houston Astros (64-51) and the Boston Red Sox (64-52). The initial moneyline sets Boston at +125 and Houston at -150, with an over/under of 8 runs. The starting pitchers are Garrett Crochet and Cristian Javier.
The Boston Red Sox have collectively achieved 239 doubles and belted 141 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .430, they rank 5th in Major League Baseball, scoring an average of 5.0 runs per game. They have accumulated 554 RBIs and 1,010 hits this year, maintaining a batting average of .254 and a .323 on-base percentage.
On the pitching front, the Red Sox hold an impressive earned run average (ERA) of 3.72, ranking 7th in the league, having struck out 960 batters. They have given up 118 home runs and allowed a total of 496 runs (15th in the league). Their staff has walked 379 batters with a FIP of 3.99. Boston has relinquished 968 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 430 earned runs, aiming for a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.30.
Boston’s relief pitchers have entered games with runners on base 117 times in addition to appearing in 143 high-pressure situations. The bullpen has earned 64 holds this season (16th in MLB) and has a save percentage of 59.3%, successfully converting 32 saves out of 54 attempts. They have inherited 154 runners this year, with 31.8% scoring. The Red Sox have utilized 379 relievers thus far in the season.
Defensively, the Red Sox have recorded 3,120 putouts, 1,067 assists, and 93 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .978 (30th in MLB), along with 97 double plays. They convert 68.8% of balls in play into outs, ranking 26th among all teams.
Garrett Crochet has pitched for 367 innings in his career, accruing 477 strikeouts. With a career record of 22-23, he possesses a FIP of 2.83 and has faced 1,502 batters, allowing an ERA of 2.87 (117 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.122 while surrendering 300 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings), along with 112 walks.
The Houston Astros, on the other hand, boast a team slugging percentage of .407 and average 4.32 runs per game (18th in MLB). They have hit 179 doubles, drawn 332 walks, and scored 497 runs, along with 126 home runs and 475 RBIs this season. Despite striking out 894 times (26th in the league), they have tallied a total of 1,005 hits and hold an on-base percentage of .322 and a team batting average of .258.
Houston’s staff holds a WHIP of 1.196 and a FIP of 3.80. They feature a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.70 (1,107 strikeouts versus 342 walks) and rank 4th in the league for hits allowed with 880. The pitching unit has conceded 135 home runs and 450 runs this season, showcasing a solid 3.96 runs per 9 innings and a team ERA of 3.72.
With 116 save opportunities, the Astros have achieved 68 holds and 12 blown saves. Their bullpen has been called upon in 46 save situations, successfully converting 34 saves. They have appeared in 112 high-leverage moments and 81 instances with base runners, holding an inherited runner score percentage of 26.4% out of 110 inherited runners, ranking 1st in MLB for save percentages at 73.9%. They have utilized 358 relief pitchers this season.
In total, the Astros have displayed a defensive efficiency of 70.5% across 9,198 innings (11th among professional teams). They have turned 71 double plays and secured a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB), making 898 assists and recording 48 errors alongside 3,066 putouts this year.
Cristian Javier, with a career record of 33-18, holds a 3.59 earned run average while allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.76, having faced 2,060 batters in his MLB career. He has yielded 200 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.136 and a FIP of 3.5, allowing 365 hits while striking out 564 batters over 501 innings pitched.
Who will clinch the win in tonight’s MLB action against the spread or on the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Let’s back Houston (-150)
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