Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira Prediction and Odds for UFC 318 on 07/19/2025

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Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira

UFC 318 Event Details

Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025

On Saturday, July 19, 2025, Kyler Phillips steps into the Octagon to face Vinicius Oliveira at UFC 318. Phillips is currently listed at +130 odds while Oliveira comes in at -152.

Kyler “The Matrix” Phillips sports a professional record of 12 wins and 3 losses. At 30 years of age, he weighs 135 pounds and stands 5’8″ tall with a reach of 72 inches. His opponent, Vinicius “LokDog” Oliveira, stands slightly taller at 5’9″, weighs the same 135 pounds, and has an impressive record of 22-3-0 at 29 years old with a reach of 70 inches. In terms of striking, Phillips averages 5.28 significant strikes landed per minute, while Oliveira connects at a rate of 4.92. Both fighters maintain a striking accuracy of 44%. Defensively, Phillips absorbs 3.47 significant strikes per minute and successfully defends against 60% of incoming strikes, whereas Oliveira allows 2.77 strikes and stops 52% of his opponent’s attempts.

UFC Predictions Kyler Phillips Odds

 

UFC 318 Matchup Kyler Phillips Vinicius Oliveira
Opening Odds +130 -152
Fight Record 12-3-0 22-3-0
Average Fight Duration 12:02 11:56
Height 5’8″ 5’9″
Weight Class 135 lbs 135 lbs
Reach 72″ 70″
Significant Strikes Landed/Min 5.28 4.92
Striking Accuracy 44% 44%

When it comes to grappling, Kyler Phillips presents a more formidable wrestling approach, averaging 2.63 takedowns every 15 minutes. He successfully executes takedowns on 51% of his attempts while defending against 75% of his opponent’s takedowns. In comparison, Oliveira completes 60% of his takedown attempts and defends 76% of those against him. For submission attempts, Phillips leads with 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes as opposed to Oliveira’s 0.3.

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In his most recent fight, Kyler Phillips faced Rob Font, suffering a unanimous decision loss after the third round. Font connected on 65 of 144 total strikes attempted, while Phillips managed to land 50 of 143. In terms of significant strikes, Font landed 61 out of 137 thrown, achieving a success rate of 44%. Phillips, on the other hand, landed 38 out of 125, hitting 30% of his significant strikes, with 19 aimed at the head, while Font’s significant strikes predominantly came from a distance.

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Conversely, Vinicius Oliveira’s last battle was against Said Nurmagomedov, where he claimed victory via unanimous decision in the third round. Nurmagomedov was effective, landing 97% of his significant strikes from distance, while Oliveira connected on 72%. In total, Oliveira landed 45% of his significant strikes, with 24 targeted at his opponent’s head during the fight.

Key Fights to Watch at UFC 318

Don’t miss the exciting matchup between Marvin Vettori and Brendan Allen. Vettori holds a record of 19-8-1 at 31 years old, weighing 185 lbs and standing at 6’0″ with a reach of 74″. His opponent, Allen, stands 6’2″ and weighs the same, boasting a record of 24-7-0 at 29 years old. Vettori averages 1.51 takedowns every 15 minutes while Allen manages 1.60. In striking metrics, Vettori lands 4.54 strikes per minute with a 46% accuracy rate, while Allen connects on 53% of his 3.55 strikes per minute.

Another notable fight features Nikolay Veretennikov versus Francisco Prado. Prado enters the bout with a 12-3-0 record at just 23 years old, weighing 170 lbs and standing 5’10” with a 69-inch reach. Veretennikov, at 6’1″ and 170 lbs, aims to improve his record of 12-6-0. In grappling exchanges, Prado defends against 25% of takedown attempts and succeeds with 9% of his own. Veretennikov completes 10% of his takedowns while effectively defending against 57% of adversary attempts. Striking statistics show Prado absorbing 5.32 strikes per minute while landing 4.38, while Veretennikov absorbs only 3.54 strikes, landing 2.73.

Who will come out on top in this exciting UFC matchup?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Vinicius Oliveira (-152)

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