Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
Date: Tuesday, September 2, 2025
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Broadcast: MASN
Betting Odds: Miami (-210) Washington (+172)
The Washington Nationals (53-83) are set to face off against the Miami Marlins (64-72) at Nationals Park this Tuesday. The Marlins are favored with a moneyline of -210, while the Nationals come in at +172. The over/under for the game is established at 8 runs. Scheduled pitchers for this matchup are Adam Mazur and Mitchell Parker.
The Miami Marlins have a slugging percentage of .395, having struck out 1,066 times while drawing 407 walks. They have amassed a total of 565 RBIs and recorded 1,168 hits this season, maintaining a team batting average of .251. The Marlins have hit 227 doubles and launched 130 home runs, accumulating a total of 594 runs scored, with an on-base percentage of .315. As a team, they average 4.4 runs per game, placing them 16th in the league.
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On the mound, the Marlins have a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and a collective WHIP of 1.32. Their pitchers have allowed 160 home runs and a total of 681 runs (26th in MLB). Miami’s pitchers have surrendered 1,157 hits (averaging 8.6 hits per 9 innings) and 631 earned runs. They hold a team ERA of 4.70 (26th overall) and have recorded 1,070 strikeouts, while issuing 432 walks, resulting in a FIP of 4.30.
The Marlins’ relief corps features a save rate of 63.0%, having participated in 128 save scenarios. They have inherited 155 runners this season, with 32.9% of those runners scoring. Miami’s pitchers have entered high-pressure situations 147 times and employed 423 relief pitchers this season. Their relief staff has achieved 73 holds (ranking 17th) and has successfully saved 34 out of 54 opportunities.
In terms of fielding, the Marlins have converted 69.9% of balls in play into outs across 10,866 innings, placing them at 15th in the league. The Los Angeles Dodgers lead in total putouts with 3,622, complemented by 1,168 assists and 67 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986, ranking 16th in professional baseball, along with 92 double plays.
Pitcher Adam Mazur has logged 42 innings, achieving 29 strikeouts in his MLB career. He holds a 1-4 record with a FIP of 7.11, facing 203 batters and posting an earned run average of 7.22 (34 earned runs). His WHIP stands at 1.769, allowing 49 hits (10.4 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 26 walks.
The Nationals have recorded a team slugging percentage of .386 with an average of 4.20 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have accumulated 222 doubles, drawn 391 walks, and scored 567 runs. Washington has hit 126 home runs this season and boasts 545 RBIs. However, they have struck out 1,083 times (23rd in the league) and totaled 1,100 base hits, with a season batting average of .243 and an on-base percentage of .309.
Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 744 runs throughout the season, maintaining a team ERA of 5.36 (705 earned runs). They have surrendered 178 home runs and give up 5.66 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). Their WHIP is measured at 1.443 alongside a FIP of 4.69, with a K/BB ratio of 7.80 (1,031 strikeouts to 460 walks). The Nationals rank 29th in MLB for total hits allowed, totaling 1,247.
Relief pitchers for Washington have appeared in 41 save situations and successfully logged 26 saves, placing them 13th in MLB with a 63.4% save rate. They have utilized 476 relief pitchers throughout the season and faced high-leverage situations 101 times with base runners in 133 instances. Washington’s relief staff has an inherited scoring percentage of 39.4% from 226 inherited runners, with 55 holds out of 97 save opportunities and 15 blown saves.
Over the course of 10,650 innings, the Nationals boast a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (29th in MLB). They have achieved 104 double plays and maintain a fielding rate of .985 (20th overall). With 1,151 assists, 71 errors, and a total of 3,550 putouts this season, the Nationals are aiming to improve their defensive statistics.
Parker, with a career record of 14-25, has an ERA of 5.09 and allows 9.5 hits per 9 innings pitched. His K/BB ratio is recorded at 2.36, having faced 1,273 hitters. Parker has conceded 165 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.384 and a FIP of 5.0. In his MLB career, he has given up 308 hits, while achieving 227 strikeouts across 292 innings thrown.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB contest, covering the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Take Miami (-210)
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