Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians
Date: Friday, August 1, 2025
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Broadcast: CLEGuardians.TV
Betting Odds: Minnesota (+220) Cleveland (-275)
On Friday at Progressive Field, the Cleveland Guardians (54-54) will clash with the Minnesota Twins (51-57). The betting odds are set with Minnesota at +220 and Cleveland at -275, with an over/under line of 9 runs. Joe Ryan and Gavin Williams are slated to be the starting pitchers for this matchup.
The Twins have recorded 168 doubles and launched 125 home runs this season. With a team slugging percentage of .399, they have faced 884 strikeouts while drawing 322 walks. Minnesota averages 4.2 runs per game, ranking 21st in the league, while accumulating 432 RBIs and 870 hits. Their current batting average stands at .241, with a total of 451 runs and an on-base percentage of .313.
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The Twins have a K/BB ratio of 3.26 and their pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.27. On the season, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 121 home runs and given up 484 runs (20th in the league). The team has surrendered 923 hits, averaging 8.8 per 9 innings, with 452 of those being earned runs. The Twins’ cumulative ERA stands at 4.29, placing them 23rd overall, while their pitchers have struck out 919 batters. Their team has issued 282 walks, leading to a FIP of 3.85 for the season.
The Twins’ bullpen has a save percentage of 57.1%, having entered 110 save situations. Relief pitchers have inherited 110 runners, with 36.4% scoring. Twins pitchers have come into situations with runners on base 77 times and made 130 high-leverage appearances. This season, the Twins have deployed 373 relief pitchers, recording 73 holds (6th in MLB) and converting 20 saves from 35 chances.
The Milwaukee Brewers recorded 2,843 putouts, 797 assists, and 52 errors this season. They hold a fielding percentage of .986, ranking 16th in MLB, with 55 double plays turned. The Twins convert 68.7% of balls in play into outs across 8,529 innings, placing them 26th in professional baseball.
Joe Ryan has logged 591 innings with 662 strikeouts throughout his MLB journey. His earned run average rests at 3.70 (243 ERs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.044, conceding 484 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and issuing 133 walks. Ryan’s career record stands at 43-31, with a FIP of 3.64 after facing 2,388 batters in total.
The Guardians show a slugging percentage of .377 while averaging 3.93 runs per game (26th in the league). They have 162 doubles, drawn 350 walks, and scored 424 runs. Cleveland also tallied 114 home runs, alongside 408 RBIs for the season. Their total strikeouts are 883 (18th in the league), contributing to 805 hits, a .228 batting average, and a .301 OBP.
The Guardians pitch with a team WHIP of 1.312 and a FIP of 4.14, ranking 12th in total hits allowed at 875. Over the season, Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 453 runs, with a cumulative ERA of 3.90 (416 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.40 (899 strikeouts vs. 383 walks) and they’ve allowed 119 home runs, giving up 4.25 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).
In 123 save situations, the Guardians have secured 76 holds and 14 blown saves. They have called on relief pitchers in 44 save opportunities, successfully saving 30. Cleveland’s relief pitchers have appeared on the mound in high leverage 121 times and in situations with runners on base 92 times, boasting a 36.7% inherited score percentage out of 128 runners. Their save rate at 68.2% ranks 7th in MLB, with 360 relief pitchers utilized this season.
The Cleveland Guardians have turned 85 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in baseball). With 891 assists and 70 errors, they’ve achieved 2,879 putouts. Across 8,637 innings, their defensive efficiency is at 69.6% (19th in baseball).
Gavin Williams, with a career record of 12-19, has an ERA of 3.83, allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.09, and he has faced 1,148 batters to date in his career. Williams has conceded 114 ERs, holding a WHIP of 1.335 and a FIP of 3.8. To this point, he has allowed 229 hits and amassed 269 strikeouts over 268 innings.
Who do you predict will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Minnesota (+220)
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