Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Forecast, 9/5/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Forecast, 9/5/2025 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Friday, September 5, 2025

Venue: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City

Betting Odds: Minnesota (+150) Kansas City (-182)

The Minnesota Twins (62-77) will head to Kauffman Stadium on Friday to take on the Kansas City Royals (70-69). The moneyline for this matchup positions Minnesota at +150, while Kansas City is set at -182. The over/under for total runs is established at 8. Joe Ryan and Michael Wacha are slated to take the mound as starting pitchers.

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As a team, the Minnesota Twins are averaging 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 25th in the league. Season stats show 584 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .311. The Twins have amassed 213 doubles and 163 home runs, contributing to 555 RBIs and 1,109 hits this season, with a batting average of .238. Their slugging percentage stands at .397, with 1,151 strikeouts and 427 walks drawn.

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The Twins post a K/BB ratio of 2.98, with their pitching staff featuring a WHIP of 1.32. To date, Minnesota pitchers have allowed 169 home runs and 658 runs in total (23rd in the league). The team has surrendered 1,223 hits (allowing 9.0 per 9 innings) and 613 earned runs, leading to a 4.51 team ERA (24th in MLB) and 1,167 strikeouts. Their collective walks stand at 392, and their FIP is calculated at 4.13 for the season.

Throughout the season, the Twins have utilized 472 relievers, who have inherited 148 baserunners, with 37.8% of those scoring. Currently, the Twins have collected 26 saves and failed to convert 22 out of 48 save opportunities, giving them a 54.2% save percentage after entering the game in 134 save situations. The bullpen has achieved 84 holds this season, placing them 10th in the league. Twins relievers have entered with baserunners 103 times and have made 159 appearances in high-leverage situations.

The Twins have converted 68.4% of balls in play into outs, which places them 27th in the majors, while the Milwaukee Brewers have recorded a total of 3,672 outs this year along with 1,034 assists and 68 errors. They maintain a fielding percentage of .986, ranking 16th among all professional baseball teams, and have completed 85 double plays.

Joe Ryan (career record of 46-33) has a FIP of 3.66, facing 2,528 batters during his major league tenure. He has given up 516 hits (an average of 7.4 hits per nine innings) and accumulated 139 walks. His career ERA stands at 3.71 (258 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.048. Ryan has thrown 625 innings and racked up 699 strikeouts to date.

The Royals feature a team slugging percentage of .392, averaging 3.83 runs per game (28th in MLB). They have recorded 244 doubles, struck out 945 times (30th in the league), and achieved a total of 1,137 hits. Kansas City has scored 533 runs with 132 home runs and 523 RBIs. Their on-base percentage is at .306, with a batting average of .245 so far this season.

The pitching staff of the Royals has allowed 541 runs this season, resulting in a 3.66 ERA (502 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 142 home runs, yielding 3.94 runs per nine innings (2nd in MLB). Kansas City’s team WHIP is 1.244, and their FIP stands at 3.97. Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 7.90, having recorded 1,086 strikeouts against 409 free passes, making them 10th in the league in total hits allowed with 1,128.

Royals relief pitchers have inherited 190 runners, with a score percentage of 27.9%. They have appeared in 151 high-leverage situations and 139 appearances with runners on base. With 133 save situations, the Kansas City relief team has garnered 73 holds and 18 blown saves. They rank 4th in baseball with a 69.5% save rate, utilizing 466 relievers throughout the season. They have converted 41 saves from 59 opportunities.

Kansas City has executed 107 double plays, maintaining an impressive fielding rate of .989 (4th in professional baseball). The Royals have logged 1,228 assists, committed 56 errors, and made 3,708 putouts during this campaign. Their defensive efficiency rests at 70.8% over 11,124 innings, ranking 7th in the league.

Over his professional career, Wacha has allowed 1,548 hits while amassing 1,402 strikeouts across 1,607 innings. He has surrendered a total of 689 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.272 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.82, having faced 6,760 batters in the MLB. With a career win-loss record of 109-73, Wacha holds a 3.86 ERA and yields 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Selection: Bet on Minnesota (+150)

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