Match: New York City FC vs Nashville SC
Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: MLS Season Pass
On Sunday, NYCFC (11-5-8) will face Nashville SC (14-5-7) at Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY. The odds favor NYCFC at +102 while Nashville SC sits at -122. The over/under total for the match is set at 3. Goalkeepers for this fixture will be Matt Freese for New York City and Joe Willis for Nashville.
This season, New York City FC has achieved a total of 78 saves with a commendable save rate of 71.8%. With a goal differential of +5, they have scored 34 goals while conceding 29. NYCFC averages 1.58 points per game with a total of 38 points, currently ranking 16th in the MLS for assists with 24. They are in 17th place for expected goals at 35.5, while their expected goals against stands at 31.1. The Pigeons have accumulated 42 yellow cards and 1 red card so far this season. On average, they concede 1.21 goals per 90 minutes and have faced 103 shots on target, securing 7 clean sheets at a rate of 29.2% this campaign.
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On the other hand, Nashville SC is performing well with an average of 1.8 points per match and a total of 29 assists, along with 1 red card. They boast a 34.6% clean sheet rate for the year and have received 44 yellow cards. Sitting 5th in goals conceded with 29, Nashville’s goal differential is +14. They have a save rate of 70.1% against 97 shots on target, placing them 4th in the MLS with 47 points. With a goals against average of 1.12 per 90 minutes and 67 saves, they have achieved 9 clean sheets alongside scoring 43 goals, while their expected goals this season sit at 45.3.
Matt Freese will take charge as the goalkeeper for New York City. Over his career, Freese has played 6,804 minutes and made 245 saves, facing 337 shots in 77 matches. He holds a goals allowed average of 1.26 per 90 minutes (95 goals conceded) and a save percentage of 72.7%. With a professional record of 31-23-23, he has secured 18 clean sheets, resulting in a clean sheet percentage of 23.8%.
For Nashville, Joe Willis will safeguard the goal. Throughout his professional career, Willis has conceded 384 goals and made 870 saves over 286 starts. His career save percentage is 69.5%, and he has a clean sheet rate of 26.4%. Willis allows an average of 1.33 goals per 90 minutes and has a record of 101-81-106, accumulating 76 clean sheets over 25,945 minutes against 1,252 shots.
Alonso Martinez is a key player for New York City, having started in 40 matches. The Costa Rican forward averages 0.76 goals per 90 minutes, netting a total of 28 goals in 3,336 minutes played. He has also provided 4 assists for a total of 60 points in his career.
Nashville’s Sam Surridge is another player to watch. He has proven to be a thorn in defenses, racking up 69 career points and assisting on 5 goals. The English forward has played 5,114 minutes and scored 32 goals, averaging 0.56 goals per 90 minutes over 58 career starts.
Who will triumph in tonight’s soccer matchup against the spread?
Tony Sink’s Recommendation: Bet on New York City FC (-122)
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