Matchup: New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins
Event Date: Friday, August 1, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: New York (-196) Miami (+162)
This Friday, the Miami Marlins (52-55) will host the New York Yankees (59-49) at loanDepot park. The betting line places New York at -196 and Miami at +162. The total set for this game is 8.5 runs, with Carlos Rodon and Janson Junk set to take the mound as starting pitchers.
The New York Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .451 and have struck out 948 times while earning 410 walks. They’ve compiled 534 RBIs and totaled 927 hits this season, maintaining a batting average of .253. The Yankees have hit 182 doubles and sent 172 balls over the fence, accumulating 557 runs with an on-base percentage of .332. Averaging 5.2 runs per game places them third in the league.
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New York has a K/BB ratio of 2.58, with a team WHIP of 1.25. The pitching staff has conceded 121 home runs and allowed 461 runs total (ranked 15th in MLB). They’ve surrendered 824 hits (7.8 per nine innings) and 422 earned runs, resulting in a 3.97 earned run average (17th overall) with 953 strikeouts. The staff has walked 369 batters, with a FIP of 4.01 this season.
So far, the Yankees have utilized 358 relief pitchers, with those relievers inheriting 179 runners, of which 25.7% scored. The Yankees have recorded 29 saves from 42 opportunities, resulting in a 69.0% save rate. With 60 holds this season (ranked 19th in MLB), Yankees relievers have appeared in 103 save situations and faced players on base 120 times, including 105 instances in high-pressure scenarios.
The Yankees have achieved 2,870 putouts this year, along with 916 assists and 59 errors, which gives them a fielding percentage of .985, ranking 23rd in the league. They have turned 68 double plays and converted 71.1% of balls in play into outs across 8,610 innings, landing them 7th in Major League Baseball.
Carlos Rodon has pitched 1,216 innings in his career, recording 1,353 strikeouts. He holds an ERA of 3.78, having allowed 511 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.228. With 1,042 hits given up (7.7 hits per nine innings) and issuing 451 walks, Rodon carries an 86-70 career record and a FIP of 3.72, facing 5,115 opposing batters.
Conversely, the Miami Marlins have a slugging percentage of .393 and average 4.23 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have 182 doubles and 315 walks, totaling 453 runs and 99 home runs this season, with 435 RBIs. The Marlins have also struck out 841 times (25th in MLB) and recorded 921 hits. Their on-base percentage stands at .314, with a batting average of .252 this season.
The Marlins pitching staff has yielded 500 runs this year, maintaining an ERA of 4.36 (with 461 earned runs). They have given up 111 home runs, allowing 4.73 runs over nine innings (24th in MLB). Their team WHIP is 1.303, with a FIP of 4.04. They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.00 (843 strikeouts against 337 walks) and rank 19th in total hits allowed with 904.
The Marlins have faced 44 save opportunities, managing to convert 27 of them, placing them 17th in league save percentage at 61.4%. This season, they have utilized 336 relievers, seen their bullpen in 116 high-leverage situations and encountered base runners 84 times. The inherited scoring percentage for Miami’s bullpen stands at 32.0% out of 122 inherited runners. In 105 save situations, they have compiled 60 holds and suffered 17 blown saves.
With a fielding percentage of .985, the Miami Marlins are ranked 19th in the league and have executed 76 double plays. This season, they’ve recorded 939 assists and 56 errors, leading to 2,857 putouts. Over 8,571 innings played, Miami’s defensive efficiency sits at 69.6%, ranking 18th in professional baseball.
Janson Junk, with a career record of 6-5, has an ERA of 4.68 while allowing 10.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 4.88, and he has faced 430 batters throughout his MLB career. He has given up 52 earned runs, boasting a WHIP of 1.359 and a FIP of 4.6. Over his career, Junk has allowed 120 hits and possesses 78 strikeouts in 100 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Choose New York (-196)
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