Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview, 8/21/2025 WNBA Prediction, Tips and Odds

Home » Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview, 8/21/2025 WNBA Prediction, Tips and Odds

Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces

Event Date: Thursday, August 21, 2025

Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Broadcast: YouTube TV

The Phoenix Mercury (21-13) are set to take on the Las Vegas Aces (22-14) at Michelob ULTRA Arena this Thursday.

In their latest matchup, the Phoenix Mercury triumphed over the Golden State Valkyries with a final score of 98-91. Phoenix showcased an impressive 49.3% shooting efficiency, connecting on 34 of their 69 attempts, while converting 11 of 31 from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they achieved a stellar 82.6%, sinking 19 out of 23 shots. Phoenix also grabbed 40 rebounds, including 10 on the offensive end, and recorded 22 assists while forcing 3 turnovers with 1 steal. Defensively, the Mercury allowed a shooting percentage of 41.6% from the Valkyries, who managed 32 field goals out of 77 attempts. Golden State registered 9 assists and 9 steals, collecting 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive) alongside 1 block. They were particularly sharp at the free-throw line, hitting 15 of 17 attempts for an 88.2% conversion rate, while making 12 out of 35 shots from three-point range.

WNBA Predictions for NaLyssa Smith and Las Vegas Aces

Kahleah Copper emerged as a key player in the last game, scoring 25 points on 9 of 20 shooting, while logging 32 minutes on the court and grabbing 5 rebounds. Copper shot 45.0% from the field and contributed 1 assist.

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Phoenix enters this match with a solid 21-13 record for the season. The Mercury are knocking down 33.5% of their three-point attempts (313 of 934) and converting 79.0% from the free-throw line. Averaging 83.6 points per game, they rank 5th in the league, while also shooting 43.6% from the field. They commit an average of 12.6 turnovers and 18.4 fouls per game. A strong rebounding team, Phoenix averages 34.6 boards, alongside a total of 706 assists this season, placing them 8th for passing accuracy in the league. The Mercury’s defensive stats show they’ve forced 14.6 turnovers per game while also allowing opponents to shoot 42.4% (495 of 577). Opponents are averaging 35.2 rebounds against them and they’ve allowed 668 assists, ranking 4th in assists given up this season. Additionally, they restrict their rivals to a shooting percentage of 32.3% from deep and rank 4th in points allowed, yielding 80.1 per game.

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In their most recent game, the Las Vegas Aces secured a narrow victory over the Atlanta Dream, finishing 74-72. The Aces collected 23 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds, amassing a total of 32. They turned the ball over 13 times but also notched 6 steals. The Dream committed 14 fouls, leading the Aces to the charity stripe for 11 attempts, of which they converted 9 for an 81.8% free-throw rate. Las Vegas managed to hit 7 of 20 three-point attempts (35.0%) and concluded the game shooting 45.3%, with 29 out of 64 field goals made. Defensively, they held the Dream to 40.0% shooting efficiency (26 of 65), while allowing 29 total rebounds (9 offensive).

A’ja Wilson played a pivotal role for the Aces, scoring 32 points on 12 of 24 shooting, complemented by 12 rebounds and 4 assists while playing 37 minutes.

Las Vegas maintains an overall record of 22-14 this season. They’ve tallied 2,974 points so far (82.6 per game) and collect 33.9 rebounds on average. The Aces average 17.3 fouls per game and shoot an impressive 82.2% from the free-throw line. Their offensive shooting percentage stands at 42.6%, placing them 9th in the league. The team dishes out assists at a rate of 18.4 per game (11th in the WNBA) and average 12.6 turnovers. Defensively, they rank 9th in points allowed per game with a total of 82.6, while forcing 12.3 turnovers and permitting opponents to shoot 44.3% from the field (9th in the WNBA). Las Vegas allows 33.3% from three-point range and opponents are hitting 81.5% of their free-throw attempts. Opponents average 20.7 assists and 34.8 rebounds against them, ranking them 9th in both categories.

What’s the prediction for tonight’s parlay?

Parlay Pundit’s Recommended Bet: Back Las Vegas

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