Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Thursday, July 10, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (-182), Boston (+150)
On Thursday, the Boston Red Sox (47-45) welcome the Tampa Bay Rays (49-42) to Fenway Park. The moneyline for this matchup shows Tampa Bay at -182 and Boston at +150. The game total is projected at 8 runs, with Taj Bradley and Walker Buehler expected as the starting pitchers.
The Rays have tallied 141 doubles and hit 101 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .409, they have recorded 752 strikeouts and drawn 272 walks. Collectively, the Tampa Bay Rays score an average of 4.8 runs per game, placing them 7th in the league. They have racked up 410 RBIs and 795 hits, boasting a team batting average of .259. The Rays have crossed the plate 432 times this season and hold an on-base percentage (OBP) of .322.
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This season, the Rays’ pitching staff has an ERA of 3.78, ranking 14th in MLB, with 761 strikeouts. They have surrendered 123 home runs and 367 runs, also placing them 14th overall. With 252 walks issued, their FIP sits at 4.25. Tampa Bay has given up 725 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 342 earned runs, showcasing a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and a collective WHIP of 1.20.
The Rays have utilized 287 relief pitchers this season. Their relievers have inherited 99 baserunners, with 38.4% of those ultimately scoring. So far, they have achieved 21 saves out of 35 opportunities, leading to a save rate of 60.0% across 86 save situations this season. Their bullpen also holds 50 holds (17th in MLB) and has pitched in 68 high-leverage situations.
As for fielding, the Tampa Bay Rays have recorded 2,440 putouts, 831 assists, and 45 errors for a fielding percentage of .986, placing them 13th in MLB. They lead the league with a 71.2% efficiency in converting balls in play into outs, ranking 5th in the majors.
Taj Bradley, with a career record of 18-25, has a FIP of 4.70 and has faced 1,452 batters. He has allowed 318 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and issued 123 walks. His ERA stands at 4.77, allowing 180 earned runs over his 339 innings pitched, complemented by a WHIP of 1.299 and 367 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 114 home runs this season alongside 437 RBIs. They also boast 186 doubles, 300 walks, and 457 runs scored. The team maintains an OBP of .325 and a batting average of .255. With a slugging percentage of .430, the Red Sox rank 6th in the league, averaging 4.97 runs per game. However, they also have a high strikeout count at 843 (3rd in the league) and 813 hits overall.
On the mound, Boston has a team WHIP of 1.326 and a FIP of 3.88. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.40 (772 strikeouts versus 316 walks), ranking them 24th in MLB for hits allowed with 777. They have given up 87 home runs and allowed 4.56 runs per nine innings (21st in MLB). This season, the Boston pitching staff has relinquished 418 runs with an ERA of 3.94 (361 earned runs).
The Red Sox’s relief pitchers have participated in 42 save opportunities, securing 24 saves, ranking them 23rd in save percentage at 57.1%. With a total of 304 relief pitchers used, they have entered 115 high-leverage situations and faced 95 appearances with runners on base. Their inherited runner scoring rate stands at 33.6% from 128 inherited runners. Out of 93 save situations, the Red Sox bullpen has compiled 49 holds and faced 18 blown saves.
Defensively, the Boston Red Sox have turned 79 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .978 (29th in MLB). They have achieved 847 assists, 75 errors, and 2,474 putouts across 7,422 innings, leading to a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (27th in professional baseball).
So far, Walker Buehler has surrendered 670 hits while amassing 815 strikeouts within 785 innings pitched. With a career record of 53-28, he maintains a 3.54 earned run average, allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has let in 309 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.136 and a FIP of 3.5, accompanied by a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.67 as he has faced 3,232 batters throughout his career.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Pick: Bet on Boston (+150)
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