Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros
Event Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
Venue: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Broadcast: Space City Home Network
Betting Lines: Washington (+162) Houston (-196)
The Washington Nationals (44-62) are set to visit Daikin Park on Wednesday, where they’ll take on the Houston Astros (60-47). The odds for this matchup list the Nationals at +162 while the Astros are favored at -196. The over/under is established at 9. Starting pitchers will be MacKenzie Gore and Ryan Gusto.
This season, the Washington Nationals are averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking 17th overall in Major League Baseball. With a total of 458 runs scored and a team on-base percentage of .310, they have hit 173 doubles and knocked 103 home runs. The Nationals have accumulated 439 RBIs and 869 hits, leading to a batting average of .244. Their slugging percentage stands at .389, complemented by 824 strikeouts and 307 walks.
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The Nationals have a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and their pitching staff holds a team WHIP of 1.40. Allowing 122 home runs along with 557 total runs, they rank 28th in MLB. The Nationals have yielded 949 hits (averaging 9.2 per 9 innings) and 525 earned runs, with a team ERA of 5.07, sitting at 29th in the league. The staff has struck out 801 batters and issued 352 walks, boasting a FIP of 4.41 for the season.
Washington’s bullpen has a save rate of 60.0% from 80 save opportunities. They have inherited 189 base runners this season, with 39.7% scoring. The bullpen has entered games with runners on base 110 times and has had 83 high-leverage appearances. This year, the Nationals have deployed 369 relievers, achieving a total of 44 holds (29th in the league) and converting 21 saves while failing on 14 out of 35 save chances.
With a total of 2,797 putouts, the Nationals have also gathered 906 assists and committed 52 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .986 (15th in MLB), successfully completing 82 double plays. The Nationals convert 68.6% of balls put into play into outs, positioning them at 28th in the league across 8,391 innings played.
MacKenzie Gore has pitched 489 innings with 548 strikeouts during his professional career. He has an ERA of 4.05, having allowed 220 earned runs, and carries a WHIP of 1.389. Gore has surrendered 477 hits (8.8 per nine innings) along with 203 walks. His career record is 25-36 with a FIP of 3.99, having faced 2,113 hitters in the majors.
The Astros have a slugging percentage of .403 while scoring an average of 4.27 runs per game (19th in MLB). They have recorded 163 doubles, taken 311 walks, and scored 457 runs. With 116 home runs and 435 RBIs, they have been struck out 844 times (22nd in baseball) and have accumulated 923 hits. Houston boasts a .321 on-base percentage along with a .256 batting average this season.
The Astros hold a WHIP of 1.189, accompanied by a FIP of 3.76 as a staff this season. They currently rank 5th in MLB in total hits allowed (815). The Houston pitching staff has allowed 419 runs, resulting in a 3.71 ERA (393 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.80 (1,034 strikeouts against 318 walks), having surrendered 125 home runs and allowing 3.96 runs per nine innings, ranking them 5th overall.
In 114 save situations, the Astros have secured 68 holds and recorded 12 blown saves. Their bullpen has been involved in 45 save opportunities, converting 33 of those into saves. Houston’s relievers have appeared in 108 high-leverage situations and 74 times with runners on base, achieving an inherited score percentage of 27.2% from 103 inherited base runners. Their save rate of 73.3% is 2nd in MLB, and they have employed 331 relievers throughout the season.
The Astros have compiled a defensive efficiency rating of 70.5% (10th in baseball) over 8,577 innings. With a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in MLB), Houston has executed 68 double plays and recorded 835 assists, 46 errors, and 2,859 putouts this season.
Gusto has allowed 91 hits while striking out 82 batters over 80 innings pitched in his MLB career. Holding a 6-4 record, he has a 5.18 ERA while giving up 10.2 hits per 9 innings. Gusto has given up 46 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.475 and a FIP of 5.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.04, having faced 357 batters thus far in his career.
Who will take the victory in tonight’s MLB showdown, covering the spread or the moneyline?
Expert Prediction by Guy Bruhn: Bet on Houston (-196)
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