Bowling Green Falcons at UMass Minutemen Prediction, January 3, 2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Bowling Green Falcons at UMass Minutemen Prediction, January 3, 2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Bowling Green Falcons vs UMass Minutemen
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Venue: Mullins Center, Amherst, MA
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

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The Bowling Green Falcons (10-4) will travel to Mullins Center this Saturday to face the UMass Minutemen (9-5).

College Basketball Predictions for Bowling Green Falcons Best Bets

In their previous outing, the Bowling Green Falcons faced off against Miami and suffered a defeat, concluding with a score of 93-83. The Falcons accumulated 20 personal fouls while Miami recorded 19. Bowling Green made 11 of 23 attempts from long range. Miami excelled at the free-throw line with a conversion rate of 91.7%, hitting 22 of 24 shots. Additionally, Miami grabbed 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) but did not register any blocks. Miami also made 16 assists and secured 6 steals during the game. Defensively, Bowling Green allowed Miami to shoot 54.5% on 30 of 55 attempts. The Falcons managed 12 assists, forced their opponents into 15 turnovers, and claimed 11 steals. On the boards, Bowling Green secured 22 rebounds, including 8 offensive ones, while shooting 69.6% from the free-throw line with 16 made shots out of 23 attempts. Overall, the Falcons finished with a field goal percentage of 49.2% (31 of 63) and converted only 5 of their 22 three-point attempts.

Sam Towns was a key player for Bowling Green in this matchup. He shot 60.0% from the field, contributing 2 assists and pulling down 6 rebounds over 38 minutes of play, resulting in 24 points from 9 of 15 shooting.

Bowling Green enters this contest with a record of 10-4. The team averages an impressive 88.2 points per game (33rd in Division 1) while shooting 49.7% from the field. The Falcons are connecting on 33.8% of their three-point attempts (105 of 311) and hold a free-throw percentage of 74.8%. As a squad, they average 37.1 rebounds per game and have amassed a total of 233 assists, ranking 63rd nationally in assists. The team averages 11.9 turnovers and 17.9 personal fouls per game.

Defensively, the Falcons are adept at forcing 19.1 turnovers per game and average 19.8 personal fouls. They currently rank 124th in college basketball in terms of assists surrendered, allowing 169 throughout the season. Bowling Green gives up an opponent field goal percentage of 41.2% (308 of 747) and allows 32.0 rebounds per game. Their opponents are shooting 32.1% from three-point range, while the Falcons rank 44th in points per game allowed (66.4).

The UMass Minutemen recently fell to Eastern Michigan, with a final score of 80-74. In terms of rebounds, UMass allowed Eastern Michigan a total of 44 boards (9 offensive). They struggled from behind the arc, shooting just 25.0% (3 of 12) and converted 27 of 39 free-throw attempts (69.2%). Eastern Michigan shot 45.5% on 25 of 55 attempts. UMass, on the other hand, shot 40.0% from the field (28 of 70) and 24.0% on three-pointers (6 of 25). The Minutemen made 12 free throws for a conversion rate of 66.7%. In this matchup, Eastern Michigan committed 22 fouls, giving UMass a total of 18 free throw opportunities. They turned it over 7 times and secured 6 steals, with 26 defensive and 11 offensive rebounds, totaling 37 boards.

Daniel Hankins-Sanford was a standout for UMass, scoring 18 points in 34 minutes without any assists. He recorded a shooting percentage of 46.7% by making 7 out of 15 attempts and also grabbed 11 rebounds.

Currently, UMass holds a record of 9-5 for the season. Offensively, they boast a field goal percentage of 45.6%, which ranks 178th in the nation. The Minutemen have scored a total of 1,107 points this season, averaging 79.1 points per game while averaging 39.2 rebounds. The team averages 17.8 assists per game (41st nationwide) and has 13.7 turnovers per contest. They commit an average of 20.8 fouls and convert 65.3% of their free-throw attempts.

UMass’s defense permits opponents to shoot 25.7% from beyond the arc (83 of 323) and 71.8% from the free-throw line. They surrender an average of 13.2 assists and 32.1 total rebounds per game, ranking 174th and 77th in the country, respectively. UMass ranks 143rd in points allowed per game (71.4) and forces 13.7 turnovers per game, allowing opponents to shoot 42.4% from the field (130th in Division 1).

Who will prevail in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Take Bowling Green

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Pick: Bowling Green Falcons
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