- Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- TV: YES Network
- Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+126) New York (-152)
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The New York Yankees (92-67) are set to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (78-81) at Yankee Stadium this Sunday. The betting odds have the Orioles at +126 and the Yankees at -152. The over/under is established at 8 runs. Projected starting pitchers include Shane Baz and Ryan Yarbrough.
This season, the Baltimore Orioles are hitting .394 and have struck out 1,489 times while earning 576 walks. They have notched 679 RBIs and 1,233 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .233. The Orioles have recorded 231 doubles and hammered 194 home runs, boasting a total of 705 runs and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .313. On average, the Orioles score 4.4 runs per contest, placing them at 16th in Major League Baseball.
The Orioles hold a 2.42 strikeout to walk ratio with a combined WHIP of 1.34 from the pitching staff. They have given up 169 home runs and 731 runs in total, ranking 20th in the league. With 1,369 hits allowed (8.7 per 9 innings) and 644 earned runs, Baltimore’s earned run average currently stands at 4.08, placing them 12th in the league. Their pitchers have struck out 1,282 batters while issuing 529 walks, leading to a FIP of 4.06.
This season, the Orioles have used 535 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 227 base runners, of which 26.4% have scored. They’ve accumulated 84 holds (16th in MLB) and have faced players on base 165 times, with 171 high-leverage situations. With 46 saves completed, the Orioles have missed 22 of their 68 save opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 67.6% in 155 save situations.
The Orioles have converted 68.9% of batted balls into outs over 12,774 innings, ranking them 26th among major teams. This season, they have completed 4,258 putouts, 1,363 assists, and 94 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .984, placing them 22nd in the majors with 122 double plays.
Shane Baz (career record of 23-32) has a FIP of 4.14, having faced 1,965 opposing batters. He’s allowed 427 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and recorded 166 walks, boasting an earned run average of 4.20 (217 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.275. Baz has pitched 465 innings and accumulated 447 strikeouts.
On the other hand, the New York Yankees have hit 223 home runs this season and collected 698 RBIs. They have posted 221 doubles, taken 566 walks, and scored 731 runs, resulting in a team batting average of .234 and an OBP of .311. The Yankees showcase a team slugging percentage of .410 and average 4.60 runs per game, ranking 9th in MLB. They’ve faced 1,457 strikeouts (6th in baseball) with a total of 1,233 hits.
The Yankees’ pitching staff maintains a team WHIP of 1.165 and a FIP of 3.68. They stand 3rd in the league for total hits allowed, with 1,180. This season, the Yankees have surrendered 588 runs, achieving an ERA of 3.20 (506 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.00 (1,421 strikeouts versus 478 walks), having allowed 160 home runs and an average of 3.72 runs per 9 innings, which ranks first in the league.
The Yankees’ bullpen has inherited 270 base runners with a 22.2% scoring rate. They’ve entered 175 high-leverage situations and faced 189 runners on base, accumulating 162 save chances with 86 holds and 28 blown saves. Currently, they hold the 17th position in baseball for save percentage at 61.6%, with a total of 525 relief pitchers utilized this season.
Across 12,810 innings, New York’s defensive efficiency is set at 71.2% (7th in professional baseball). They’ve recorded 123 double plays with a fielding percentage of .983, ranking 23rd, along with 1,387 assists, 95 errors, and 4,270 putouts.
Throughout his career, Yarbrough has given up 840 hits while striking out 698 batters across 893 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 416 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.185 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.20, having faced 3,728 batters in his MLB journey. Yarbrough holds a career record of 58-42 with an ERA of 4.19 and has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings.
Who will secure victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Bet on Baltimore (+126)
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