Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Forecast, 2/3/2026 Analysis and Selection

Home » Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Forecast, 2/3/2026 Analysis and Selection

  • Matchup: Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks
  • Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
  • Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
  • Broadcast: NBC

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The Boston Celtics, holding a record of 30-18, are set to clash with the Dallas Mavericks, who sit at 19-30, at the American Airlines Center this Tuesday.

NBA Predictions: Payton Pritchard, Boston Celtics Best Bets & Odds

In their previous encounter, the Celtics triumphed over the Kings with a convincing score of 112-93. Boston incurred 17 personal fouls, slightly fewer than Sacramento, who had 18. The Celtics managed to sink 10 out of 31 attempts from beyond the arc. Sacramento excelled with a 91.3% free throw success, converting 21 of their 23 attempts. Rebounding saw Sacramento claim 47 boards (15 offensive, 32 defensive) along with 5 blocks. They also made 19 assists and notched 4 steals. Defensively, the Celtics allowed an opponent shooting percentage of 37.3%, letting Sacramento hit 31 of 83 shots. Boston collected 44 rebounds, including 14 offensive, and wrapped up with a 62.5% free throw shooting rate, hitting 10 out of 16 attempts. The Celtics concluded the game with a field goal percentage of 45.2% (42 of 93) and scored 18 of 48 from the three-point line.

Payton Pritchard proved to be a critical contributor in the game. He achieved a remarkable 75.0% shooting accuracy, amassing 8 assists, and was on the floor for 33 minutes, grabbing 2 rebounds while scoring 29 points on 12 of 16 attempts.

Currently, Boston showcases a solid win-loss record of 30-18. They average 12.0 turnovers and commit about 20.2 fouls per game. As a unit, the Celtics secure 44.9 rebounds and have totaled 1,148 assists this season, ranking them 29th in the league for assists. Boston is hitting 36.8% of their three-point attempts (749 of 2,038) and stands at 79.1% from the free throw line. They’re scoring an average of 116.3 points (15th in the league) with a field goal percentage of 46.9%.

Defensively, the Celtics force 13.6 turnovers per game, while committing 18.8 personal fouls. They rank 7th in the NBA for surrendering assists, allowing 1,227 assists to be made against them this year. Their defense gives up a 44.6% field goal percentage (1,859 of 4,167) and allows an average of 42.3 rebounds per game. They concede 36.3% shooting from three-point range and hold the 2nd position in the league for points allowed per game at 109.7.

In contrast, the Mavericks faced a defeat at the hands of the Rockets, finishing 111-107. They secured a total of 48 rebounds, including 37 on the defensive end and 11 offensively. Dallas also recorded 11 turnovers and managed 3 steals during this match. The Rockets committed 20 fouls, sending the Mavericks to the free throw line 26 times, out of which they converted 15 for a 57.7% success rate. From beyond the arc, Dallas made 10 of 23 attempts (43.5%). By game’s end, the Mavericks shot 44.6% from the field, hitting 41 of 92 attempts, while allowing the Rockets to score 45 of their 108 shots, resulting in a 41.7% shooting rate. Houston’s three-point shooting was successful at 38.5% with the Rockets making 10 of 26, alongside an 11 of 15 conversion rate at the free throw line (73.3%). In terms of rebounding, Dallas allowed Houston to claim 53 rebounds overall (18 offensive).

Cooper Flagg emerged as a pivotal player for the Mavericks, converting 13 of 25 attempts with a field goal percentage of 52.0%. He gathered 12 rebounds while netting 34 points in 39 minutes on the court, along with 5 assists in the contest.

Dallas holds a win-loss record of 19-30 this season. Offensively, they boast a field goal percentage of 47.2%, ranking them 14th in the league. They have accumulated a total of 5,590 points this season (averaging 114.1 points per game) and gather 45.1 rebounds per game. The Mavericks assist their teammates with 25.2 passes per game (21st in the league) but suffer from 15.1 turnovers on average. They also commit 18.8 fouls every game and score at a 74.5% rate from the charity stripe.

Defensively, the Mavericks are positioned 20th in the NBA for points allowed, averaging 116.6. They force 13.4 turnovers while permitting opponents to shoot 46.1% from the field (7th in the league). Dallas gives up 33.6% shooting from three-point range (585 of 1,743) and allows teams to convert 77.9% from the free throw line. They permit 26.8 assists and 46.9 rebounds per game, ranking 15th and 28th in the league, respectively.

Who will prevail tonight against the spread in this NBA showdown?

Recommendation: Back Dallas

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Pick: Dallas Mavericks Forecast
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