Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames Prediction, NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 3/5/2026

Home » Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames Prediction, NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 3/5/2026

  • Matchup: Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames
  • Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB
  • Broadcast: Sportsnet

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The Ottawa Senators (29-22-8) are set to visit the Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday for a clash with the Calgary Flames (24-28-7).

NHL Picks Tim Stutzle Ottawa Senators NHL Picks

In their last outing, the Ottawa Senators faced a tough 5-4 defeat against the Edmonton Oilers. Despite a solid offensive strategy, they were unable to secure a win, managing to convert 4 out of 21 shot attempts. The Senators had 3 power play opportunities and converted 1 goal but found themselves in penalty trouble with a total of 11 penalty minutes.

Looking at their scoring capability, the Senators have recorded 194 goals this season (ranking 13th in the NHL) while conceding 188. They currently sit with 66 points, leading to a points percentage of .559. Ottawa has had 191 power play chances, scoring 45 goals (23.56% success rate). At even strength, they’ve given up 142 goals while scoring 149. Overall, the Senators have attempted 1,690 shots with an 11.5% shooting percentage, while facing 1,438 shots against them, yielding a save percentage of .869. Their opponents have capitalized on 171 power play opportunities (ranked 18th), scoring 46 goals during those attempts.

The netminder for this matchup will be Linus Ullmark. In his career, Ullmark has achieved 197 quality starts with a .629 quality start percentage. His career save percentage stands at .914, having logged 15,502 minutes on the ice and facing 9,333 shots. Throughout his career, he’s conceded 799 goals, averaging 2.55 goals against per game, with a win-loss record of 180-95-32 in 313 games played in the NHL.

On the other side, the Calgary Flames recently fell to the Dallas Stars with a score of 6-1. In this game, they managed to score only once from 21 shots on goal and failed to capitalize on 3 power play opportunities.

Calgary has attempted 1,716 shots this season (13th in the league) with an 8.51% shooting percentage, while allowing 1,728 shots against. Their penalty kill rate stands at 82.46%, successfully defending against 171 power play attempts, and their overall save percentage is 90.0%. They have recorded 177 power play opportunities, converting at 16.38%. On even strength, Calgary has scored 117 goals while conceding a total of 172 goals — comprising 142 goals at even strength and 30 goals while short-handed. Currently, the Flames have netted 146 goals, accumulating 55 points for a points percentage of .466.

Dustin Wolf is expected to be in goal for the Flames. Averaging 2.77 goals against per game, Wolf has allowed a total of 308 goals. He holds a quality start rate of 53.2%, having achieved 59 quality starts in his career. Starting in 111 games, he has accumulated 3,864 minutes of play, with a career record of 54-45-12 across 114 games. He has made 2,902 saves out of 3,210 shots faced, giving him a .904 save percentage.

Who do you think will take the victory in tonight’s NHL showdown against the spread or moneyline?

Pick: Choose Ottawa

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Pick: Ottawa Senators
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