Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings Forecast, 3/11/2026 Analysis and Selection

Home » Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings Forecast, 3/11/2026 Analysis and Selection

  • Matchup: Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings
  • Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
  • Broadcast: NBC Sports California

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On Wednesday, the Sacramento Kings (15-50) will host the Charlotte Hornets (32-33) at the Golden 1 Center.

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The Hornets recently faced the Suns, suffering a 111-99 defeat. In the contest, Charlotte committed 21 personal fouls, while Phoenix registered 17. The Hornets managed to hit 16 of their 41 attempts from beyond the arc. Phoenix shot an impressive 88.5% from the free throw line, converting 23 of 26 attempts. Phoenix also dominated the boards, securing 40 rebounds (10 offensive, 30 defensive) and recording 6 blocks. Additionally, Phoenix distributed 24 assists and snagged 5 steals. Defensively, Charlotte allowed their opponents to shoot 45.6% from the field, giving up 36 baskets out of 79 attempts. The Hornets recorded 24 assists, forced 8 turnovers, and garnered 1 steal. On the boards, they collected 41 rebounds, including 13 offensive ones. At the charity stripe, they converted 10 of 15 attempts, achieving a rate of 66.7%. Overall, Charlotte finished with a field goal percentage of 42.0% (37 of 88) while hitting 15 of 45 three-pointers.

LaMelo Ball was a key player in this game, scoring 22 points from 9 field goals on 19 attempts. With 33 minutes on the court, he also grabbed 7 rebounds and dished out 6 assists, finishing with a shooting percentage of 47.4%.

The Hornets are entering this matchup with a season record of 32-33. They average 15.6 turnovers per game and commit 19.2 fouls on average. As a unit, Charlotte collects 46.2 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,726 assists this season, placing them 12th in the league in assists. They are converting 37.8% of their three-point attempts (1,043 of 2,762) and achieving 81.7% from the free throw line. Averaging 115.9 points per game, they rank 11th in the NBA while maintaining a shooting percentage of 46.0% overall.

Defensively, the Hornets force their opponents into 12.6 turnovers each game and draw 19.8 personal fouls. They rank 14th in assists allowed with a total of 1,720 given up this season. Charlotte’s defense permits a field goal percentage of 46.9% (2,692 out of 5,737), allowing an average of 39.5 rebounds per game. Opponents are hitting 36.2% of their three-pointers against them, and the Hornets rank 10th in points allowed per game with 112.5.

In their recent outing, the Kings secured a victory over the Bulls with a final score of 126-110. Sacramento allowed Chicago to grab a total of 49 rebounds (with 9 offensive). They achieved a 37.8% shooting rate from three-point range, hitting 17 of 45 tries, and finished the game with 23 of 34 made free throws (67.6%). On the defensive end, the Kings allowed the Bulls to convert 35 of their 84 field goal attempts, resulting in a 41.7% shooting clip. Sacramento closed the game with 47 successful shots out of 105 attempts, giving them a shooting percentage of 44.8%. From long range, they successfully netted 11 of 29 attempts (37.9%). The Kings took advantage of 23 free throw attempts, and the Bulls were called for 19 personal fouls. Additionally, Sacramento forced 4 turnovers and registered 5 steals. They controlled the boards with 42 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds, tallying 55 in total.

Malik Monk made significant contributions for the Kings, shooting 11 of 24 for a field goal percentage of 45.8%. Over his 31 minutes of playtime, he scored 30 points and registered 5 assists.

The Kings hold a season record of 15-50. Offensively, they are shooting 46.2% from the field, ranking 21st in the league. With a total of 7,190 points this season, they average 110.6 points per game. Sacramento collects about 41.8 rebounds per game and averages 25.4 assists (21st in the league), alongside 14.2 turnovers per game. They commit 19.8 fouls per game and achieve 77.9% from the free throw line.

On defense, Sacramento’s opponent shooting percentage from beyond the arc stands at 36.8% (863 of 2,345), and teams are shooting 78.1% from the line. They allow an average of 27.8 assists and 44.9 rebounds per game, ranking 25th and 17th in the league, respectively. The Kings rank 28th defensively, giving up 121.1 points per game, while forcing 14.3 turnovers each contest and allowing teams to shoot 49.5% from the floor (30th in the NBA).

Who will prevail in tonight’s NBA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Go with Charlotte

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Pick: Charlotte Hornets
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