North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Virginia Cavaliers Forecast, 3/12/2026 College Basketball Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Home » North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Virginia Cavaliers Forecast, 3/12/2026 College Basketball Selections, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: NC State Wolfpack vs Virginia Cavaliers
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Venue: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
  • Broadcast: ESPN2

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The NC State Wolfpack (19-12) will be taking on the Virginia Cavaliers (27-4) at Spectrum Center this Thursday as part of the ACC Tournament.

College Basketball Predictions Ven Allen Lubin NC State Wolfpack Betting Insights

In their most recent game, the NC State Wolfpack faced off against Stanford, narrowly losing 85-84. The Wolfpack committed 13 personal fouls while Stanford had 19. NC State hit 11 out of 29 attempts from beyond the arc. Stanford converted 72.7% of their free throws, going 8 of 11. The Cardinal secured 33 rebounds (12 offensive, 21 defensive) and produced 10 assists along with 11 steals. Defensively, NC State allowed 48.5% shooting, as Stanford went 33 for 68. The Wolfpack recorded 9 assists, forced 7 turnovers, and earned 6 steals. On the rebounding front, they recorded a total of 31 boards, including 10 offensive ones, and shot 73.5% from the line by making 25 out of 34 attempts. Overall, North Carolina State achieved a field goal percentage of 48.1% (26 of 54), hitting 7 of their 20 three-point attempts.

Key player Ven-Allen Lubin contributed significantly, scoring 17 points on 6 of 8 shooting during his 34 minutes on the court. He also grabbed 11 rebounds and finished with an impressive field goal percentage of 75.0%.

North Carolina State holds a record of 19-12 this season. The team turns the ball over an average of 9.3 times per game and commits around 18.2 fouls each contest. On average, the Wolfpack secures 35.0 rebounds per game and has totaled 487 assists this season, placing them 92nd nationally in assists. Their three-point shooting percentage stands at 38.0% (318 of 836), with a free throw percentage of 76.0%. NC State scores an average of 83.5 points per game (29th in the nation) while shooting 46.7% from the field.

Defensively, the Wolfpack force 12.9 turnovers per game while committing 17.0 fouls. They allow opponents to shoot 35.0% from three-point range and rank 236th in points allowed per game (76.0). North Carolina State surrenders a shooting percentage of 44.6% overall (806 of 1,809) and 35.9 rebounds per game as a team. This ranks them 107th nationally concerning assists allowed, having given up 395 this season.

The Virginia Cavaliers secured a victory in their previous game against Virginia Tech, finishing 76-72. Virginia recorded 23 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards for a total of 34. They turned the ball over 12 times and recorded 8 steals. Virginia Tech committed 17 fouls, allowing the Cavaliers to take 17 free throw attempts, converting 15 for an 88.2% success rate. For three-point shooting, Virginia made 9 of 25 attempts (36.0%). At the end of the game, the Cavaliers shot 26 of 58 from the field, reaching a field goal percentage of 44.8%. They limited Virginia Tech to 26 of 62 shooting (41.9%), while allowing 28 total rebounds (11 offensive) to the opponent.

Malik Thomas played a pivotal role for the Cavaliers, making 6 out of 9 shots at a 66.7% shooting clip, and contributing 2 rebounds. He scored 16 points in 24 minutes of play without recording an assist.

The Cavaliers currently hold a record of 27-4 for the season. Offensively, Virginia has a field goal percentage of 46.1%, ranking 128th nationally. They have scored a total of 2,507 points this season, averaging 80.9 points per game. The team grabs 40.8 rebounds per game and assists 16.8 times on average (36th in Division 1), while committing 10.8 turnovers per game. They average 17.6 fouls and have a free throw percentage of 71.8%.

On the defensive end, Virginia ranks 45th in the nation in points allowed per game (68.3). They create 10.7 turnovers per game and limit opponents to a 39.7% shooting percentage (14th in Division 1). Virginia allows 30.5% shooting from three-point range (210 of 688) and yields 74.7% from the charity stripe. They restrict opponents to 11.8 assists and 32.7 rebounds per game, placing them 56th and 78th nationally, respectively.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Back North Carolina State

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Pick: North Carolina State Wolfpack
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