Louisville Cardinals vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction for College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 3/12/2026

Home » Louisville Cardinals vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction for College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds on 3/12/2026

  • Matchup: Louisville Cardinals vs Miami Hurricanes
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Venue: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
  • Broadcast: ESPN2

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The Miami Hurricanes (24-7) will face off against the Louisville Cardinals (22-9) at the Spectrum Center as part of the ACC Tournament this Thursday.

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In their last encounter, the Louisville Cardinals emerged victorious against Miami, securing a thrilling 92-89 win. Louisville showcased an impressive performance with a field goal percentage of 60.4%, completing 32 of 53 attempts, along with sinking 12 out of 24 shots from beyond the arc. From the free-throw line, they recorded 14 successful shots out of 21 for a conversion rate of 66.7%. On the rebounding front, they collected a total of 19 boards, including 5 offensive, and facilitated 22 assists during the match. Their defense managed to force 8 turnovers and secure 4 steals, while they allowed Miami a shooting percentage of 56.4% from the floor, with the Hurricanes converting 31 of 55 attempts. Miami assisted 22 times and picked up 25 rebounds (8 offensive, 17 defensive) but did not register any blocks. The Hurricanes excelled at the free-throw line, achieving 82.6% by making 19 of 23 attempts, and hit 8 out of 19 marks from three-point range. Each team committed 19 personal fouls in the game.

Ryan Conwell was instrumental for Louisville, contributing 24 points on 7 of 14 shooting in 37 minutes of play, alongside pulling down 2 rebounds and providing 2 assists.

With a season record of 22-9, Louisville averages 85.9 points per game (ranking 16th nationally), shooting 47.2% from the field. They also boast a three-point shooting percentage of 36.3% (368 out of 1015) and a free-throw percentage of 77.1%. As a team, the Cardinals average 38.7 rebounds per game and have tallied 540 assists this season, placing them 31st in the nation for assists. They average 11.6 turnovers per game while committing 18.6 personal fouls.

On defense, the Cardinals force 11.9 turnovers per game while drawing 17.8 fouls. They are ranked 75th in college basketball for assists allowed, surrendering 381 this season. Louisville’s opponents shoot 42.2% against them (781 of 1,850) and they allow an average of 33.1 rebounds per game. The Cardinals are ranked 139th nationally in points allowed per game (72.5), with opponents shooting 32.6% from three-point territory.

In their previous matchup, the Miami Hurricanes suffered a loss against the Cardinals, the scoreline being 92-89. Miami allowed Louisville to grab 19 rebounds (5 offensive), while they shot 50.0% from three-point territory (12 out of 24) and finished 14 of 21 at the free-throw line (66.7%). The Hurricanes let the Cardinals achieve 32 of 53 field goal attempts, translating to a successful field-goal percentage of 60.4%. Overall, Miami concluded the game shooting 31 for 55 (56.4% from the floor). From distance, Miami converted 8 of 19 attempts (42.1%) and made 19 successful free-throws for a shooting percentage of 82.6%. Louisville committed 19 personal fouls, allowing Miami 23 free-throw opportunities. The Hurricanes recorded 8 turnovers but tallied 5 steals during the game, securing 17 defensive and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 25.

Tre Donaldson significantly impacted the game for Miami, scoring 25 points on 11 of 16 shooting (68.8% accuracy) while playing 36 minutes but did not record any rebounds. He also contributed 6 assists to the team’s efforts.

With a record of 24-7 this season, the Hurricanes average committing 15.4 personal fouls per game and shoot 68.1% at the free-throw line. They average 16.6 assists per game (42nd in the nation), while turning the ball over 11.5 times on average. The Hurricanes have scored 2,564 points this season, averaging 82.7 points per game, and they also average 37.8 rebounds per contest. Their field goal shooting stands at an impressive 50.6%, ranking 10th in the country.

Defensively, the Hurricanes rank 94th in points allowed per game with 70.7. They force an average of 12.8 turnovers per game, while allowing opponents to shoot 44.1% from the field (173rd in the nation). Their defense gives up 35.5% shooting from three-point range (258 of 726) and allows a free-throw conversion rate of 69.0%. They yield an average of 13.7 assists and 29.4 rebounds per game, ranking 209th and 8th in Division 1 respectively.

Who will clinch victory in tonight’s NCAA matchup against the spread?

Recommendation: Back Louisville

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Pick: Louisville Cardinals
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