Iowa State Cyclones vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction for 3/12/2026: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Iowa State Cyclones vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction for 3/12/2026: College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Iowa State Cyclones vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Venue: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
  • Broadcast: ESPN

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders (22-9) are set to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (25-6) at the T-Mobile Center on Thursday during the Big 12 Tournament.

College Basketball Predictions for Iowa State Cyclones

In their latest outing, the Iowa State Cyclones secured an impressive victory against Arizona State, finishing 86-65. Iowa State showcased a strong offensive game with a 43.9% shooting percentage (29 of 66) and successfully made 11 of their 29 three-point attempts. From the free-throw line, they capitalized by sinking 17 of 22 shots, which translates to a 77.3% accuracy. On the boards, the Cyclones fetched 29 rebounds, including 9 offensive rebounds, and dished out 18 assists during the match while forcing their opponents into 22 turnovers and registering 16 steals. Defensively, Iowa State allowed a shooting percentage of 46.5% on 20 of 43 attempts from Arizona State. The Sun Devils managed 13 assists and recorded 5 steals but struggled on the boards with a total of 23 rebounds (3 offensive, 20 defensive). Arizona State shot 81.8% from the charity stripe, making 18 of their 22 attempts, and converted 7 of their 23 shots beyond the arc. Iowa State committed 18 personal fouls, while Arizona State had 19.

Joshua Jefferson played a pivotal role in the Cyclones’ performance, shooting 41.7% from the field, contributing 3 assists, and pulling down 7 rebounds in 30 minutes of play. He ended the game with 16 points on 5 of 12 shooting.

Heading into this matchup, Iowa State boasts a 25-6 record this season. The Cyclones average 10.3 turnovers per game and commit 16.1 personal fouls on average. Their rebounding effort results in 35.5 rebounds per contest, and they lead the nation in assists with a total of 540 for the season. Iowa State excels with a 38.3% shooting rate from beyond the arc (276 of 720) and an overall free-throw percentage of 68.0%. They score an average of 81.8 points per game, which places them 57th in Division 1, while shooting 48.8% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Cyclones force their opponents into an average of 15.3 turnovers per game, incurring 16.9 fouls. They rank 112th in D-1 for assists allowed, conceding 397 throughout the season. Iowa State allows an overall field goal percentage of 42.8% (728 of 1,701) and gives up 31.0 rebounds per game, while their opponents shoot 32.5% from three-point range. Iowa State stands 16th in college basketball in points allowed per game, averaging 65.7 against.

In their last contest, the Texas Tech Red Raiders faced a defeat, losing 82-76 to BYU. They gathered 19 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards, totaling 28 for the game. Texas Tech turned the ball over 8 times while managing 1 steal during the contest. BYU committed 14 fouls, leading to 8 free throw attempts for the Red Raiders, of which they made 6, achieving a 75.0% success rate. Texas Tech was efficient from beyond the arc, converting 16 of 35 attempts (45.7%). Overall, they shot 46.6% from the field, finishing 27 of 58. Conversely, BYU managed to shoot 44.3%, making 31 of 70 shot attempts. From three-point range, Texas Tech hit 6 out of 26 (23.1%) and converted 14 of 19 free throws (73.7%). They allowed BYU to secure a total of 35 rebounds, with 18 being offensive.

Christian Anderson shone brightly for the Red Raiders in this contest, scoring 23 points on 8 of 19 shooting (42.1%) along with 4 rebounds and 9 assists in his 40 minutes of gameplay.

Texas Tech’s record stands at 22-9 this season. The Red Raiders average 16.5 fouls per game and shoot 71.7% from the free-throw line. They assist their teammates at a rate of 16.0 per game, ranking 66th in D-1, while averaging 10.8 turnovers. This season, Texas Tech has accumulated 2,520 points, averaging 81.3 per game, and are pulling down 37.2 rebounds per contest. As an offensive unit, they are shooting 47.1% from the field, placing them 69th nationally.

Defensively, Texas Tech concedes 31.3% shooting from beyond the arc (205 of 656) and their opponents complete 69.7% of their free throws. They average 10.9 assists and allow 33.9 rebounds per game, ranking 21st and 149th in college basketball, respectively. The Red Raiders sit at 143rd in points allowed, averaging 72.5 per game, while forcing 10.0 turnovers per game and allowing opponents to shoot 43.6% from the field (143rd in college basketball).

Who will prevail in tonight’s NCAA game against the spread?

Prediction: Favor Iowa State

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Pick: Iowa State Cyclones
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