- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
- Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES Network
- Betting Odds: Baltimore (+132) | New York (-160)
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The Baltimore Orioles (15-18) are set to visit Yankee Stadium this Monday to face off against the New York Yankees (22-11). With the moneyline lined at Baltimore +132 and New York at -160, bettors have much to consider. The total over/under for this exciting matchup stands at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Shane Baz and Cam Schlittler.
The Orioles have achieved a slugging percentage of .391 and have struck out 304 times while managing to draw 133 walks. With 149 RBIs and a total of 251 hits this season, their collective batting average falls at .230. The team has notched 54 doubles and hit 39 home runs. Overall, the Orioles have scored 151 runs, with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .317. On average, the team scores 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 12th in the league.
The Orioles currently hold a team ERA of 4.55, placing them 23rd in the league, with their pitchers recording a total of 282 strikeouts. They have allowed 41 home runs and a cumulative total of 173 runs (28th in MLB). The pitching team has walked 119 batters, and their FIP stands at 4.38. To date, the Orioles have conceded 308 hits (9.5 per nine innings) and 148 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.37, and they maintain a WHIP of 1.46.
In relief situations, Orioles pitchers have been called into play 29 times with runners on base, facing 37 high-leverage situations. They have recorded 20 holds this season (13th in MLB). The relief pitching squad has a save rate of 76.9%, entering 34 save opportunities and successfully converting 10 saves (with 3 blown saves). This year, the bullpen has inherited 42 runners, with 11.9% of them scoring. Overall, 114 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Baltimore this season.
The Baltimore Orioles have recorded 878 putouts this season, alongside 291 assists and 21 errors. Their fielding percentage is .982, positioning them 26th in MLB, with 28 double plays completed. The Orioles have achieved a 66.5% conversion rate of balls in play into outs across 2,634 defensive innings, ranking them 29th in the league.
Baz has pitched 320 innings in his career, striking out 322 batters. With a career record of 18-19, he holds a FIP of 4.21 after facing 1,346 batters in the majors. His earned run average (ERA) stands at 4.28, permitting 152 earned runs, and his WHIP is 1.256, having allowed 288 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) along with 114 walks.
The New York Yankees have an on-base percentage of .332 and a batting average of .235 for the season. They have struck out 295 times (11th in MLB) and combined for 254 hits. With 53 home runs and 159 RBIs already this season, the Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .439, scoring an average of 5.12 runs per game (8th in the league). This season, they have collected 53 doubles, drawn 151 walks, and scored 169 runs.
The Yankees’ pitching staff has yielded 112 runs, maintaining an ERA of 3.02 (98 earned runs). They have surrendered 28 home runs and allow only 3.45 runs per nine innings (2nd in MLB). New York’s staff has a WHIP of 1.116 and a FIP of 3.50. Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.90 (288 strikeouts to 92 walks), positioning them second in MLB in total hits allowed (234).
This season, the Yankees have encountered 33 save opportunities, recording 18 holds and experiencing 5 blown saves. The bullpen has faced 14 save chances, successfully achieving 9 saves. New York’s relief pitching has an inherited run scoring percentage of 34.0% from 50 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have appeared in 31 high-leverage situations and 33 instances with runners on base. Currently, they rank 12th in the league with a save percentage of 64.3% and have used 103 relievers this year.
So far, the New York Yankees have turned 22 double plays, boasting a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in MLB). They have also achieved 303 assists, committed 18 errors, and garnered a total of 878 putouts this season. Across 2,634 innings on defense, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency rate of 71.9% (5th in professional baseball).
Schlittler, with an 8-4 career win-loss record, has maintained a stellar 2.44 ERA, allowing just 6.5 hits per nine innings. He boasts a K/BB ratio of 3.59 and has faced 460 batters throughout his professional career. Schlittler has permitted 31 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.051 and a FIP of 2.4. Thus far, he has allowed 83 hits and accumulated 133 strikeouts in 114 innings pitched.
Which team will triumph in tonight’s MLB showdown, covering the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on New York (-160) and the under on 8.5 runs.
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