- Matchup: Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Monday, June 1, 2026
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: Peacock
- Betting Odds: Minnesota favored by 1.5 points
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The Phoenix Mercury (2-7) are set to compete against the Minnesota Lynx (6-2) at Mortgage Matchup Center this Monday. Minnesota is listed as 1.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 168.5.
In their recent game, the Minnesota Lynx triumphed over the Chicago Sky with a score of 79-58. Minnesota achieved a field goal percentage of 39.4% (28 of 71), including 8 of 28 from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they converted 15 of 18 attempts for an impressive 83.3%. On the boards, they collected 43 rebounds, 6 of which were offensive. The Lynx also registered 20 assists, forced 17 turnovers, and recorded 13 steals. Defensively, Minnesota held Chicago to a mere 28.6% shooting accuracy, allowing them only 20 successful field goals out of 70 attempts. Chicago managed 9 assists and 6 steals, while grabbing 41 rebounds (9 offensive and 32 defensive) and blocking 6 shots. The Sky finished with a free throw percentage of 72.2%, hitting 13 of 18 attempts, and struggled from distance with just 5 out of 30 successful 3-point shots.
Nia Coffey was a standout performer in the match, scoring 20 points on 7 of 12 shooting. In her 26 minutes on the court, she also grabbed 8 rebounds and provided 2 assists.
The Lynx enter this matchup with a season record of 6-2. They are shooting 34.0% from three-point range (54 of 159) and 74.7% from the free-throw line. Minnesota averages 88.4 points per game (6th in the league) and boasts an impressive 49.8% field goal shooting percentage. They average 15.3 turnovers and commit 20.4 personal fouls per game. Additionally, the Lynx average 37.6 rebounds per game and have compiled a total of 169 assists this season, ranking 3rd in the WNBA for passing. Defensively, they force 14.1 turnovers while allowing an opponent field goal percentage of 38.4% (113 of 148). The Lynx permit 32.9 rebounds and restrict opposing teams to a 27.0% 3-point shooting percentage, ranking 2nd in the league for points allowed per game, with an average of 79.1.
The Phoenix Mercury recently suffered a defeat against the New York Liberty with a final score of 75-68. In that matchup, the Mercury recorded 20 defensive and 3 offensive rebounds for a total of 23. They committed 9 turnovers but managed to secure 11 steals. The Liberty committed 21 fouls, allowing the Mercury to shoot 22 free throws, of which they successfully converted 20 for a percentage of 90.9%. The Mercury struggled from beyond the arc, making 6 of 24 attempts (25.0%), and shot 33.9% from the field, finishing 21 for 62. Meanwhile, the Liberty shot 43.3% (26 of 60) and hit 32.0% from three-point range (8 of 25). The Mercury allowed New York to secure 40 rebounds in total, including 7 offensive rebounds.
Kahleah Copper was a key player for the Mercury, shooting 4 of 16 for a field goal percentage of 25.0%. She contributed 16 points, 3 rebounds, and 1 assist over her 37 minutes of play.
The Mercury’s record stands at 2-7 for the season. They have scored a total of 753 points (averaging 83.7 per game) and secure 32.0 rebounds on average. The team commits 19.6 fouls per game and shows a free throw success rate of 80.7%. Offensively, they shoot 42.4% from the field, placing them 11th in the league, and average 17.7 assists per game (14th in the WNBA). They turn the ball over 12.4 times per game. Defensively, the Mercury rank 8th in points allowed per game with an average of 85.3. They concede 19.7 assists and 34.6 rebounds per game, ranking 9th and 12th, respectively, while allowing opponents to shoot 38.4% from three and 78.0% from the free-throw line. They force 13.4 turnovers per game and their opponents are shooting 45.1% from the field (9th in WNBA).
Who will prevail in this WNBA contest against the spread?
Prediction: Take Phoenix (+1.5)
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