Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Dated: Thursday, August 28, 2025

Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Betting Odds: Atlanta (+162) Philadelphia (-196)

The Atlanta Braves (60-72) are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (76-56) this Thursday at Citizens Bank Park. The current betting odds favor the Braves at +162, while the Phillies enter at -196. The over/under for this contest is positioned at 8 runs, with Cal Quantrill and Aaron Nola taking the mound as starting pitchers.

The Atlanta Braves have a slugging percentage of .393 and have struck out 1,143 times while achieving 473 walks. They’ve accumulated 562 RBIs with 1,094 hits this season, leading to a team batting average of .244. The Braves have recorded 200 doubles and hit 147 home runs. They’ve scored 582 runs and hold a team on-base percentage of .320. Overall, Atlanta averages 4.4 runs per game, placing them 15th in the league.

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The Braves have posted a team ERA of 4.35 this season (22nd in MLB), with a total of 1,135 strikeouts. They have permitted 156 home runs and 595 total runs (20th in MLB). The pitching staff has issued 442 walks, with a team FIP of 4.20. On average, they’ve allowed 1,086 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 565 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.57, and they have a WHIP of 1.31.

Braves relievers have been called into action with runners on base 133 times and have been involved in 138 high-leverage scenarios. They hold 56 holds this season (26th in the league) and have a save percentage of 60.5%. Out of 99 save situations, they have successfully converted 26 saves while blowing 17 opportunities. Their relief pitchers have faced 176 inherited runners, with 38.1% crossing home plate. A total of 423 relief pitchers have taken the mound for Atlanta this season.

The Braves’ defense has completed 3,506 putouts, with 1,134 assists and 47 errors this year. They boast a .990 fielding percentage, ranking 2nd in the league, and have achieved 91 double plays. The Braves have converted 69.9% of balls in play into outs over 10,518 innings played, which ranks them 16th in MLB.

Cal Quantrill has pitched 833 innings in his career, recording 622 strikeouts. He holds an earned run average of 4.27 (allowing 395 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.329. Quantrill has given up 838 hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 269 walks. With a career record of 47-45, his FIP stands at 4.20 after facing 3,558 batters in the major leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit 161 home runs this season and accumulated 600 RBIs. They’ve recorded 220 doubles while drawing 434 walks and scoring 625 runs. With a team on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .257, the Phillies have a slugging percentage of .422, averaging 4.73 runs per game (9th in the league). This season, they have struck out 1,062 times (20th in MLB) and collected 1,155 hits.

As a pitching staff, the Phillies have a WHIP of 1.240 and a FIP of 3.67. They are 20th in total hits allowed, conceding 1,095 hits. Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 535 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.83 (499 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.40 (1,217 strikeouts to 357 walks). They have given up 143 home runs, averaging 4.11 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).

This season, the Phillies have been in 123 save situations, securing 65 holds and blowing 20 saves. Their bullpen has successfully saved 36 out of 56 opportunities. With 137 high-leverage appearances, Philadelphia’s relief pitchers have inherited 131 runners, of which 33.6% have scored. They rank 9th in save percentage at 64.3%, dispatching 410 relief pitchers to the mound throughout the season.

In 10,542 innings, the Phillies’ defensive efficiency stands at 68.8% (25th in MLB). They have turned 81 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in MLB). The team has accumulated 1,127 assists, 51 errors, and recorded 3,514 putouts this season.

Aaron Nola, with a career record of 106-86, boasts a 3.80 ERA with an average of 8.0 hits allowed per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 4.19, and he has faced 6,894 batters in his career. Nola has permitted 709 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.151 and a FIP of 3.7. Over his career, he has given up 1,494 hits and tallied 1,841 strikeouts in 1,679 innings pitched.

Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Atlanta (+162)

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