- Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings
- Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
- Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
- Broadcast: Prime Video
- Betting Odds: Phoenix (+4.5)
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The Dallas Wings (7-4) are set to face the Phoenix Mercury (4-9) at College Park Center this Thursday, with Phoenix starting as 4.5-point underdogs. The Over/Under is set at 169.5.
The Phoenix Mercury recently battled the Golden State Valkyries and concluded the game with a defeat, losing 87-81. Phoenix achieved a field goal percentage of 46.2% (30 out of 65) and hit 9 of their 25 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, they converted 12 of 18 free throws, resulting in a shooting rate of 66.7%. On the rebounding front, they gathered a total of 33 boards, including 9 offensive rebounds. The Mercury also provided 23 assists, while forcing 9 turnovers from their opponents and acquiring 7 steals. Defensively, Phoenix allowed a field goal percentage of 44.3%, as the opposition converted 27 of 61 attempts. The Valkyries racked up 6 assists and secured 27 rebounds (6 offensive, 21 defensive) while achieving 2 blocks. Additionally, Golden State excelled at the free throw line, converting 23 of 28 attempts for a rate of 82.1% and making 10 of 29 from beyond the arc.
A standout performance came from Alyssa Thomas, who scored 22 points on 9 of 14 shooting, played 32 minutes, and collected 8 rebounds. She finished with an impressive field goal rate of 64.3% and contributed 9 assists.
The Mercury enter this matchup with a record of 4-9 for the season. They have a three-point shooting percentage of 31.3% (98 of 313) and a free throw percentage of 80.4%. They average 81.6 points per game, ranking 11th in the league, and have a field goal percentage of 41.7%. Possession struggles have them averaging 12.5 turnovers per game, with 18.6 personal fouls committed on a nightly basis. Teamwise, the Mercury are pulling down 31.8 rebounds per game and have accumulated 238 assists this season, placing 6th in the WNBA for assists. On defense, they force 13.5 turnovers per game while conceding 21.7 personal fouls. Currently, they rank 13th for assists allowed, giving up 257 over the season. The Mercury defense permits a field goal percentage of 45.8% (175 of 282) and allows an average of 33.8 rebounds per game, alongside allowing 38.0% on three-point attempts. They rank 7th in the league for points allowed per game (85.1).
In their last game, the Dallas Wings suffered a loss to the Minnesota Lynx, ending with a score of 100-76. The Wings gathered 31 rebounds (23 defensive, 8 offensive) and turned the ball over 12 times while recording 9 steals in the match. The Lynx committed 11 fouls, allowing the Wings 10 free throw attempts. Dallas capitalized by hitting all 10 attempts for a perfect free throw percentage of 100.0%. From beyond the arc, the Wings made 8 of 28 attempts (28.6%) and achieved a field goal percentage of 37.7% by converting 29 out of 77 shots. Defensively, the Wings allowed the Lynx to shoot 53.5%, as the Lynx made 38 of 71 shots and shot 50.0% from long range, making 7 of 14. The Wings allowed Minnesota to grab 4 rebounds, including 6 on the offensive glass.
Paige Bueckers made a significant impact for the Wings, scoring 23 points with a shooting success of 9 of 16 (56.3%) and securing 1 rebound in her 30 minutes on the floor.
Dallas boasts a season record of 7-4 thus far. They average 18.5 personal fouls per game and hold a free throw shooting percentage of 78.0%. The Wings excel in assisting, averaging 23.2 assists per game (1st in the WNBA), and their turnover rate is 10.4 per contest. With a total score of 970 points this season, they average 88.2 points per game and secure 33.2 rebounds per game. Offensively, Dallas shoots 45.2% from the field, ranking 4th in the WNBA. On defense, they rank 6th in points allowed per game at 84.5. The Wings give up a 3-point shooting percentage of 32.9% (74 of 225) and opponents succeed on 81.0% of their free throw attempts. They allow an average of 19.4 assists and 33.3 rebounds per game, ranking them 8th in both categories. They force 13.0 turnovers per game but allow teams to shoot 47.5% from the field (15th in the WNBA).
Who will secure the victory in this WNBA showdown against the spread?
Recommendation: Back Phoenix (+4.5)
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