- Matchup: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
- Scheduled for: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: New York (-144) Boston (+120)
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The New York Yankees (48-32) are heading to Fenway Park this Sunday to face off against the Boston Red Sox (33-46). Current odds place New York at -144 and Boston at +120, with an over/under total set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers for this matchup will be Carlos Rodon and Sonny Gray.
The Yankees are currently averaging 5.0 runs per game, ranking 5th in the league. With a total of 403 runs scored and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .329, they have hit 125 doubles and launched 120 home runs this season. The team has accumulated 386 RBIs and 650 hits, and their batting average stands at .244. New York’s slugging percentage is .436, although they have struck out 705 times while drawing 329 walks.
The Yankees hold a strikeouts-to-walks (K/BB) ratio of 2.86, with a collective WHIP of 1.19 from their pitching staff. They have allowed 71 home runs and 293 runs this year, placing 4th in the league. New York has given up 597 hits (averaging 7.6 per 9 innings) along with 260 earned runs, leading to an impressive earned run average (ERA) of 3.30 (best in the league). The staff has recorded 699 strikeouts and issued 244 walks, resulting in a combined fielding independent pitching (FIP) of 3.60 this season.
With 260 different relievers utilized throughout the season, the Yankees’ bullpen has inherited 139 base runners, of which 26.6% have scored. The relief pitchers have achieved 40 holds (ranked 18th in the league) and have entered games with runners on base 89 times, facing 94 high-pressure situations. They have secured 20 saves out of 32 opportunities, resulting in a save rate of 62.5% across 73 save scenarios.
New York has converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs during their 6,384 innings, ranking 7th in the league. This season, they have tallied 2,128 putouts, 708 assists, and 43 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .985, which places them 19th in the majors. They have completed 55 double plays.
Rodon has pitched a total of 1,323 innings in his professional career, striking out 1,455 batters. Holding a career record of 97-74, his FIP stands at 3.68. He has faced 5,551 batters in the majors with an earned run average of 3.73 (allowing 549 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.221. Additionally, he has allowed 1,116 hits (averaging 7.6 hits per nine innings) and has issued 499 walks.
On the other side, the Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .384 and are averaging 3.96 runs per game, placing 28th in MLB. They have recorded 141 doubles, drawn 231 walks, and scored 313 runs. With 68 home runs, they have 299 RBIs and have been struck out 652 times (ranked 21st in MLB) while hitting 646 total base knocks. The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .313 and a batting average of .244 this season.
The Red Sox pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.269 along with a FIP of 3.92. They rank 15th in MLB for total hits allowed, having relinquished 650 hits so far. The staff has surrendered 317 runs with a year-to-date ERA of 3.81 (294 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.60 (668 strikeouts vs. 232 walks), having allowed 85 home runs and 4.10 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).
Boston’s bullpen has inherited 92 runners this season, with 31.5% scoring. They have entered 67 high-leverage situations and appeared in 62 games with runners on base. With 66 save opportunities, the Red Sox have registered 41 holds while facing 8 blown saves, ranking 13th in the league with a 66.7% save percentage. A total of 240 relief pitchers have taken the mound this season.
In their 6,258 innings played, the Red Sox have maintained a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (ranking 20th in professional baseball). They have recorded 47 double plays and their fielding percentage stands at .986 (15th in baseball). The team has achieved 2,086 putouts with 660 assists and 38 errors this season.
Gray (with a career record of 134-103) has an ERA of 3.56, allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings, and has faced 8,265 batters throughout his career. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.11, having given up 788 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.197 and a FIP of 3.5. Over his career, Gray has allowed 1,746 hits while accumulating 1,991 strikeouts in 1,994 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Selection: Bet on New York (-144)
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