New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction for 8/30/2025 WNBA Picks, Tips, and Odds

Home » New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction for 8/30/2025 WNBA Picks, Tips, and Odds

Matchup: New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury

Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025

Venue: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

Broadcast: WNBA League Pass

The Phoenix Mercury (23-14) are set to face off against the New York Liberty (23-15) at the Footprint Center this Saturday.

In their most recent outing, the New York Liberty edged past the Connecticut Sun with a narrow 81-79 victory. The Liberty showcased an impressive 50.0% shooting from the field, sinking 29 of 58 shots, and hit 7 of 18 from behind the three-point arc. At the free-throw line, they excelled, converting 16 out of 19 shots for an 84.2% success rate. Additionally, New York collected 30 rebounds, including 6 offensive boards, and recorded 25 assists while forcing their opponents into 12 turnovers and amassing 4 steals. Defensively, New York allowed the Sun to shoot 42.3% from the field, with Connecticut tallying 30 of 71 successful attempts. The Sun recorded 12 assists and 7 steals, securing a total of 34 rebounds (12 of which were on the offensive end) while failing to secure any blocks. From the charity stripe, Connecticut made 9 of 14 attempts, resulting in a 64.3% scoring rate, and succeeded on 10 of 21 three-point attempts.

WNBA Picks: Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty Predictions and Odds

Breanna Stewart made her mark in this contest, contributing 19 points on 4 of 12 shooting. In 21 minutes on the court, she also secured 5 rebounds but did not record any assists.

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The Liberty come into this matchup with a commendable record of 23-15 this season. They are averaging 85.6 points per game, ranking 3rd in the WNBA, with a shooting percentage of 45.4%. From beyond the arc, they have converted 35.6% of their shots (371 out of 1,043) and boast an impressive free-throw rate of 83.6%. Collectively, New York is grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game and has recorded a total of 836 assists this season, placing them 3rd in the league for assists. With an average of 13.1 turnovers and 16.5 personal fouls per game, they are also known for their defensive prowess, forcing opponents into 12.9 turnovers while committing 17.0 fouls. On the defensive end, the Liberty allow a field goal percentage of 42.2% (490 of 647) and average 36.5 rebounds allowed per game. They rank 7th in the league for assists conceded at 751 this season and allow opponents to shoot 31.5% from three-point range, resulting in an average of 81.5 points allowed per game, ranking 7th in that category.

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In their latest game, the Phoenix Mercury defeated the Los Angeles Sparks with a score of 92-84. The Mercury pulled down 32 rebounds (25 defensively and 7 offensively) while turning the ball over 13 times and claiming 11 steals. The Sparks committed 18 fouls, giving the Mercury the opportunity for 18 free throw attempts, of which they successfully made 15 for an 83.3% conversion rate. From three-point range, Phoenix converted 11 of 25 attempts (44.0%) and shot 47.8% (33 of 69) from the field overall. Defensively, the Mercury allowed the Sparks to make 31 of 65 attempts from the field, equating to a shooting percentage of 47.7%. The Mercury also permitted Los Angeles to make 29 rebounds overall (5 offensive).

Satou Sabally was a key contributor for the Mercury, scoring 19 points on 5 of 10 shooting (50.0%) and securing 3 rebounds in 34 minutes of play, while adding 2 assists.

Phoenix holds a 23-14 record for the current season. Offensively, the Mercury are shooting 43.4% from the field, placing them 8th in the WNBA. So far, they have scored a total of 3,077 points this year, averaging 83.2 points per game. They secure 34.8 rebounds each game and provide 20.8 assists (6th best in the league), while averaging 12.7 turnovers per game. The Mercury commit an average of 18.1 fouls and excel at the free-throw line, shooting 79.1%. Defensively, Phoenix ranks 4th in the league for points allowed per game at 80.1, forcing 14.1 turnovers on average while allowing opponents a field goal percentage of 42.5%. Their defense also yields a 3-point shooting percentage of 31.9% (294 of 921) and an 81.4% free-throw success rate from opposing teams, with opponents averaging 19.6 assists and 34.9 rebounds each game, ranking 6th and 9th respectively in the league.

Who will clinch the victory in tonight’s WNBA matchup against the spread?

Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Support Phoenix

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