- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Scheduled Date: Tuesday, October 27, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: FOX
- Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-102) Tampa Bay (-118)
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The Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) are prepared to face the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) at Tropicana Field on Tuesday for Game 4 of the World Series. The odds for this matchup place Milwaukee at -102 and Tampa Bay at -118, with an over/under line set at 7. The projected starting pitchers for this game are Dustin May and Griffin Jax.
The Brewers have amassed a total of 279 doubles and launched 154 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .403, they have been struck out 1,383 times while drawing 668 walks. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring an impressive 5.1 runs per game, ranking them 2nd in MLB. They have recorded 788 RBIs and secured 1,422 hits thus far, boasting a batting average of .258. Their on-base percentage sits at .341, along with a total of 832 runs.
The Brewers currently hold a team ERA of 3.51 (2nd in MLB), striking out 1,544 batters this season. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 171 home runs and a total of 618 runs (4th in MLB). They’ve issued 518 walks this year, generating a FIP of 3.72. The team has allowed 1,186 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 565 earned runs, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.18.
The Brewers’ bullpen has a save percentage of 72.4%, appearing in 164 save situations with 55 successful saves out of 76 opportunities. They’ve inherited 187 base runners this season, with 37.4% of those scoring. The relief pitchers have had 158 high-leverage appearances and entered the game with runners on base 129 times. So far, 509 relief pitchers have been utilized by the Brewers, achieving 86 holds (14th in MLB).
Defensively, the Brewers have converted 71.2% of balls in play into outs over 13,020 innings, ranking them 6th in MLB. They’ve recorded 4,340 putouts, 1,269 assists, and 72 errors, with a fielding percentage of .987, placing them 7th in MLB. Moreover, they have turned a total of 118 double plays this season.
Dustin May has pitched 360 innings, tallying 335 strikeouts throughout his MLB career. He maintains an earned run average of 4.05 (allowing 162 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.224. With 313 hits given up (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and 128 walks, May holds a lifetime FIP of 3.99, having faced 1,518 batters in his career.
The Tampa Bay Rays have a team on-base percentage of .326 along with a batting average of .258 for the season. They’ve struck out 1,145 times (30th in MLB) and have collected 1,405 hits along with 169 home runs this year, totaling 700 RBIs. The team boasts a slugging percentage of .402 and averages 4.54 runs per game (12th in the league). The Rays have registered 230 doubles and drawn 514 walks, scoring 736 runs overall.
The Rays’ pitching staff has conceded 650 runs thus far, with a team ERA of 3.70 (594 earned runs allowed). They’ve given up 201 home runs and allow 4.05 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The team has a WHIP of 1.139 with a FIP of 4.04 and an impressive K/BB ratio of 8.20 (1,322 strikeouts to 409 walks), ranking 4th in MLB for hits allowed (1,235).
With a save percentage of 74.4%, the Rays have dispatched 522 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has entered high-leverage situations 163 times and faced runners on base 134 times. Out of 194 save opportunities, the Rays have achieved 115 holds and experienced 20 blown saves. They have earned 58 saves from 78 chances this year. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score percentage of 32.3% of the 192 inherited runners.
Across 12,987 innings played, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in MLB). The Tampa Bay Rays have completed 100 double plays this season and have a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in the league). This season, they have recorded 1,279 assists, 92 errors, and amassed 4,329 putouts.
Griffin Jax has a career record of 31-41 with a 3.92 ERA, allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.75, he has faced 1,942 opposing batters in his career. He has given up 204 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.160 and a FIP of 3.9. Throughout his professional career, Jax has allowed 404 hits while recording 521 strikeouts over 468 innings pitched.
Who will clinch the victory in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Opt for Milwaukee (-102)
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