- Matchup: Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx
- Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
- Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (+15.5)
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In this exciting WNBA matchup, the struggling Connecticut Sun (4-16) will face the formidable Minnesota Lynx (15-5) at Target Center. Connecticut is entering the game as 15.5-point underdogs, with an over/under set at 167.5 points.
In their latest game against the Dallas Wings, the Connecticut Sun fell short, losing 86-83. Connecticut shot 45.3% from the field (29 of 64) and made 3 of 9 attempts from beyond the arc. They converted 22 out of 35 free throw attempts, giving them a percentage of 62.9%. The Sun recorded a total of 34 rebounds, including 11 offensive boards. They tallied 16 assists while forcing 14 turnovers from the Wings and securing 7 steals. On defense, Connecticut allowed Dallas to shoot 48.5% from the field (33 of 68). The Wings had 18 assists and 4 steals, grabbing 31 rebounds overall, with 5 coming from offense. Dallas shot 68.8% from the free-throw line, converting 11 of their 16 attempts, and made 9 of their 26 three-point shots.
Leila Lacan was a standout for the Sun, scoring 18 points on 5 of 14 shooting. She played 32 minutes, pulled down 2 rebounds, and provided 5 assists, finishing with a shooting percentage of 35.7% from the field.
Heading into this bout, the Connecticut Sun hold a record of 4-16. They are struggling with a three-point shooting percentage of 27.2% (100 of 367) and have managed a free throw percentage of 68.2%. Averaging 79.5 points per game, Connecticut ranks 15th in the league, shooting 43.0% overall. The team averages 13.4 turnovers and commits 23.3 personal fouls per game. Rebounding-wise, they are on par with 33.7 boards each contest and have accumulated a total of 373 assists, ranking 13th in the WNBA. Defensively, the Sun force 15.1 turnovers per game and draw 21.3 fouls. Opposing teams shoot 35.3% from three-point range against them while Connecticut ranks 10th in points allowed per game (86.6). They also allow a field goal percentage of 45.6% and collect an average of 33.3 rebounds per game, with 387 assists given up throughout the season.
In their previous matchup, the Minnesota Lynx suffered a loss to the New York Liberty, ending 99-86. The Lynx secured 16 offensive rebounds and 15 defensive rebounds for a total of 31. They turned the ball over 8 times while earning 8 steals. New York committed 13 fouls, allowing the Lynx to attempt 9 free throws, converting 8 for an 88.9% success rate. Minnesota’s three-point shooting was slightly disappointing, hitting 10 of 31 attempts (32.3%). They concluded the game with a shooting percentage of 40.0% (34 of 85) while the Liberty shot an impressive 58.1% (36 of 62) from the field. From three-point range, New York shot 40.0% (10 of 25) and boasted a free throw percentage of 94.4% (17 of 18). Defensively, Minnesota allowed New York to grab 34 rebounds, including 7 offensive.
Kayla McBride proved essential in the Lynx’s effort, scoring 18 points on 7 of 16 shooting (43.8%), along with 1 rebound and 1 assist, playing a total of 33 minutes.
The Minnesota Lynx hold a solid 15-5 record for the season. Offensively, they excel with a field goal percentage of 48.2%, ranking 2nd in the WNBA. With a total of 1,805 points, they average 90.3 points per game and secure 36.7 rebounds each match. They dish out assists at a rate of 21.3 times per game, securing 3rd place in the league while committing 13.4 turnovers per game. Minnesota participants average 19.2 personal fouls every night and hit 79.3% of their free throw attempts. On the defensive end, they rank 2nd in points allowed per game (80.3), forcing 14.7 turnovers while allowing teams to shoot 40.3% from the field. Opponents shoot 31.0% from three-point range against the Lynx, and they allow 79.5% from the charity stripe. They also permit 19.2 assists and 32.7 rebounds per game, placing them 4th and 5th in the WNBA respectively.
Who will cover the spread in this WNBA showdown?
Prediction: Bet on Minnesota (-15.5)
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