Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres
Scheduled Date: Monday, September 1, 2025
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Broadcast: Padres.TV
Betting Odds: Baltimore (+172) San Diego (-210)
The San Diego Padres (75 wins, 59 losses) are hosting the Baltimore Orioles (60 wins, 74 losses) at Petco Park this Monday. The moneyline for this game features the Orioles at +172, while the Padres are favored at -210. The total runs for betting are set at 8.5, with pitchers Kyle Bradish and Dylan Cease expected to take the mound.

On average, the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 18th in MLB. They have accumulated 574 runs this season and maintain an on-base percentage of .305. The team has a total of 217 doubles and has hit 160 home runs. With 1,080 hits and a batting average of .240, the Orioles also have a slugging percentage of .402 and have struck out 1,165 times while drawing 372 walks.
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The Orioles’ staff has posted a team ERA of 4.67 this season, placing them 26th in MLB; they have a total of 1,104 strikeouts. The pitchers have allowed 183 home runs and conceded 654 runs overall (ranked 24th). They have issued 427 walks with a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 4.45. Over the season, Baltimore has allowed 1,194 hits (9.1 per innings) and 614 earned runs, resulting in a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.59 and a collective WHIP of 1.37.
Baltimore’s relief pitchers have appeared in 131 situations with runners on base and 137 in high-leverage scenarios. Their bullpen has earned 87 holds this season (6th in MLB), with a 63.3% save percentage from 140 save opportunities, securing 31 saves while blowing 18 chances. Relievers have inherited 178 runners this season, with 25.8% scoring. The Orioles have utilized 448 relief pitchers throughout the season.
In their 10,575 innings played, the Orioles are converting 68.5% of balls in play into outs, ranking them 28th. The Atlanta Braves have achieved a total of 3,525 putouts, 1,166 assists, and 69 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .986, which is 18th in MLB, with 93 double plays credited.
Kyle Bradish has pitched for 325 innings in his career, recording 332 strikeouts. With an 18-14 win-loss record, a FIP of 3.52, and facing 1,343 batters, his earned run average stands at 3.57 (129 runs allowed). His WHIP is 1.178, allowing 278 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and issuing 105 walks.
The San Diego Padres boast an on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .251 this season. They have struck out 938 times (28th in MLB) and recorded 1,123 hits. The Padres have launched 116 home runs and driven in 529 runs, with a slugging percentage of .385 and an average of 4.21 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have 219 doubles and drawn 430 walks, totaling 564 runs.
San Diego’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.194 and a FIP of 3.95. They rank first in MLB for total hits allowed (977). The Padres’ pitching has given up 510 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.60 (473 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio stands at 8.70 (1,150 strikeouts vs. 437 walks). They have allowed 139 home runs and register 3.88 runs per nine innings (2nd in MLB).
Relievers for San Diego maintain an inherited runners score percentage of 28.0% out of 218 inherited base runners. Their bullpen has appeared in 182 high leverage situations and 154 outings with runners on base. With 153 save opportunities, they have achieved 90 holds and have blown 15 saves. Leading the league, their save percentage is 74.1%, using 470 relief pitchers this season. They have seen their pitchers in 58 save chances, securing 43 saves.
With 10,656 innings played, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 72.1% (2nd in MLB). They have executed 100 double plays with a fielding percentage of .987 (12th overall). The Padres have recorded 1,010 assists, committed 61 errors, and achieved 3,552 putouts so far this season.
In his professional career, Dylan Cease has given up 830 hits and has accrued 1,199 strikeouts in 989 innings pitched. He has allowed 429 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.264 and a FIP of 3.8. Cease boasts a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.85, having faced 4,194 batters throughout his career. With a career record standing at 63-57, his earned run average is 3.90, allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings.
Will tonight’s MLB contest be won by the spread or moneyline?
Prediction by Tony Sink: Bet on Baltimore (+172)
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