Portland Fire vs Washington Mystics Insights, 7/16/2026 WNBA Analysis, Tips, and Odds

Home » Portland Fire vs Washington Mystics Insights, 7/16/2026 WNBA Analysis, Tips, and Odds
 

  • Matchup: Portland Fire vs Washington Mystics
  • Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
  • Venue: CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC
  • Broadcast: NBA TV
  • Betting Lines: Portland (+5.5)

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The Portland Fire (10-14) are headed to CareFirst Arena this Thursday to face off against the Washington Mystics (12-10). The Fire are starting as 5.5-point underdogs, with the game’s total projected at 165.5 points.

In their most recent outing, the Portland Fire lost to the Connecticut Sun, finishing 90-87. Portland achieved a shooting percentage of 48.3% with 29 field goals out of 60 attempts, including 9 successful three-pointers from 26 attempts. From the free-throw line, they excelled, making 20 of 21 for an impressive 95.2% success rate. On the boards, Portland secured 26 rebounds, 2 of which were offensive. They also excelled in playmaking with 28 assists and forced the Sun into 12 turnovers, resulting in 7 steals. Defensively, however, they allowed Connecticut to shoot 52.2% (35 of 67) from the field. The Sun managed to record 12 assists, 8 steals, and gather 32 total rebounds—12 of which were offensive—while also dominating from the charity stripe at 85.0% by nailing 17 of 20 attempts. They made 3 out of 14 three-point attempts.

WNBA Predictions Carla Leite Portland Fire Odds

In this match, Carla Leite made significant contributions, scoring 18 points on 6 of 11 shooting. Spending 33 minutes on the court, she also notched 1 rebound and dished out 6 assists while hitting 54.5% from the field.

Portland enters this game with a season record of 10-14. The team averages 15.0 turnovers per game and commits 22.5 fouls. Collectively, Portland grabs 29.5 rebounds per game and boasts 485 assists this year, ranking 5th in the WNBA for assists. The Fire have a three-point shooting success of 34.6% (230 of 665) and an 81.8% free-throw percentage. With an average of 85.0 points per game (ranked 10th in the league), they are shooting 44.4% overall. On defense, they force 13.8 turnovers per game and draw 19.2 fouls. However, they rank 15th in the WNBA for assists allowed, giving up 565 this season. The Fire’s defensive statistics reveal they concede a field goal percentage of 46.8% (330 of 461) while allowing an average of 33.5 rebounds per game and 91.2 points per game (13th in the league).

In their last game, the Washington Mystics triumphed over the Toronto Tempo with a score of 79-62. The Mystics secured 29 defensive rebounds and 18 offensive boards for a total of 47 rebounds. They committed 11 turnovers, achieving 3 steals throughout the matchup. The Tempo accumulated 22 personal fouls, resulting in 19 free-throw attempts for the Mystics, of which they converted 15 for a 78.9% success rate. From beyond the arc, Washington made 4 of 23 attempts (17.4%), while finishing the game with 30 field goals out of 75 attempts, for a shooting percentage of 40.0%. On the defensive side, Washington allowed the Tempo to shoot 35.4% (23 of 65) and 26.9% (7 of 26) from three-point range, while performing well at the free-throw line by making 9 of 10 attempts (90.0%). Washington permitted Toronto to collect a total of 26 rebounds (5 offensive).

Kiki Iriafen was instrumental for the Mystics, shooting 9 of 14 (64.3%) and pulling down 14 rebounds. She contributed 25 points in just 28 minutes, along with 1 assist.

Washington holds a record of 12-10 this season. Offensively, the Mystics are shooting 43.6% from the field, ranking them 10th in the league. The team has scored a total of 1,785 points (81.1 per game) and averages 36.8 rebounds per game. They distribute assists at a clip of 19.3 per game (12th in the league) while averaging 16.2 turnovers. On the defensive end, the Mystics rank 3rd for points allowed per game at 83.2, forcing opponents into 13.3 turnovers and allowing a shooting percentage of 42.2% (3rd in the WNBA). Opponents shoot 31.9% from beyond the arc (183 of 573) and 78.5% from the free-throw line. Washington also allows an average of 19.2 assists and 31.3 rebounds per game, sitting 3rd in both categories in the league.

Which team will secure a winning edge against the spread tonight?

Prediction: Choose Portland (+5.5)

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Pick: Portland Fire (+5.5)
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