- Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff Preview
- UFC Vegas 120 Fight Night
- Meta Apex, Las Vegas, NV
- Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
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On Saturday, August 8, 2026, Ty Miller will battle Billy Ray Goff at UFC Vegas 120. The initial betting line sets Miller at -350 and Goff at +280.
Known as “Thriller,” Ty Miller boasts an undefeated record of 7-0-0 with 1 no contest. This 26-year-old fighter weighs in at 170 lbs and stands 6’2″ with a reach of 77″. In contrast, Billy Ray Goff is 5’10” and also weighs 170 lbs, holding a professional record of 9-4-0 at 28 years old with a reach of 72″. In terms of offensive output, Miller averages 7.16 significant strikes per minute, while Goff lands slightly more at 7.51 strikes per minute. Miller has a striking accuracy of 38%, compared to Goff’s 46%. Defensively, Miller absorbs 4.65 significant strikes per minute, whereas Goff takes in 5.02, managing to defend against 64% and 59% of significant strikes aimed at them, respectively.
| UFC Vegas 120 Overview | Ty Miller | Billy Ray Goff |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -350 | +280 |
| Record | 7-0-0 (1 NC) | 9-4-0 |
| Average Fight Duration | 10:00 | 6:26 |
| Height | 6’2″ | 5’10” |
| Weight Class | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 77″ | 72″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.16 | 7.51 |
| Striking Accuracy Rate | 38% | 46% |
In wrestling metrics, Ty Miller averages 0.80 takedowns every 15 minutes, demonstrating a takedown success rate of 15% while defending against 75% of attempts from opponents. On the other hand, Goff achieves a 16% takedown success rate, successfully defending against 66% of attempts. Ty Miller excels in submission attempts, recording 0.8 finishes every 15 minutes, whereas Goff averages 0.4 finishes per three rounds.
In his most recent Octagon appearance, Ty Miller faced Adam Fugitt, securing a victory with a knockout punch in the first round. Fugitt managed to land 39 of 76 total strikes, while Miller finished with 65 out of 129 total strikes. In terms of significant hits, Fugitt connected on 36 of 73 (49% accuracy) and 10 of 42 aimed at the head. Statistically, Miller achieved an accuracy of 48% by landing 59 of his 121 significant strikes, out of which 55 of 115 aimed at the head were successful. Notably, 83% of Fugitt’s and 93% of Miller’s significant strikes were registered from a distance.
In his last match, Billy Ray Goff faced Ramiz Brahimaj and suffered a defeat via guillotine choke in the first round. Brahimaj failed to land any significant strikes from a distance, while Goff also struggled, landing 33% of his significant strikes with only 1 of 3 successful attempts. Brahimaj managed 9 out of 10 total strikes, whereas Goff landed 2 of 4 total strikes in that fight.
Notable Fights on the Card
Keep an eye on the exciting matchup between Diyar Nurgozhay and Bruno Lopes. Nurgozhay holds an 11-2-0 record, standing at 6’2″ and weighing 205 lbs. This southpaw fighter has a reach of 74″. Conversely, Lopes, also measuring 6’2″ and weighing 205 lbs, boasts a 14-3-0 record and a reach of 74″. In grappling stats, Nurgozhay averages 1.37 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Lopes achieves 1.93 takedowns in the same timeframe. Striking-wise, Nurgozhay lands 4.52 strikes per minute with a 59% accuracy, while Lopes connects on 43% of his strikes, averaging 2.88 strikes per minute.
Don’t overlook the matchup between Guilherme Pat and Steven Asplund. Asplund, weighing 260 lbs and standing 6’5″, holds a 7-2-0 record as an orthodox fighter. Pat, 6’6″ and 265 lbs, has a record of 6-1-0. Asplund has an 85% takedown defense and finishes 15% of his own attempts. Pat boasts identical stats for takedown attempts and defenses. In striking, Asplund averages 10.05 strikes per minute while absorbing 6.64, whereas Pat absorbs 2.03 and strikes at 2.70 per minute.
Who do you think will take the win in tonight’s UFC fight?
Prediction: Take Billy Ray Goff (+280)
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