New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Game Preview, 9/25/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Game Preview, 9/25/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
  • Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
  • Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
  • Broadcast: Nationals.TV
  • Betting Odds: New York (-182) Washington (+150)

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The New York Mets (72-85) will travel to Nationals Park this Friday to face the Washington Nationals (74-84). The odds for this thrilling contest are set at New York -182 and Washington +150, with the over/under total at 9 runs. Expect to see Jonah Tong and Andrew Alvarez as the starting pitchers for their respective teams.

MLB predictions for Francisco Alvarez and New York Mets

This season, the New York Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 22nd in the league. The team has scored a total of 674 runs with an on-base percentage of .310. New York has recorded 203 doubles and hit 194 home runs, contributing to 644 RBIs and 1,268 total hits. Their batting average stands at .239, with a slugging percentage of .394. The Mets have struck out 1,318 times but have drawn 509 walks.

The Mets’ pitching staff boasts a K/BB ratio of 2.62 with a combined WHIP of 1.30. They have allowed 179 home runs and given up a total of 712 runs (18th in the league). New York has surrendered 1,273 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has a team earned run average of 4.15 (16th in MLB). The pitching staff has struck out 1,413 batters and walked 539 hitters, resulting in a team FIP of 4.06 this season.

Mets’ relief pitchers currently hold a save rate of 62.0%, having been called upon in 127 save situations. They have successfully converted 31 saves this season, failing in 19 of 50 chances. The bullpen has inherited 199 runners, with 27.6% of them scoring. Mets relievers have been used in 141 situations with inherited runners and have made 157 appearances in key moments. A total of 488 relievers have pitched for the Mets this season, recording 73 holds (25th in the MLB).

This year, the Mets have managed to convert 69.5% of balls in play into outs over 12,597 innings, placing them 18th in the league. They have made 4,199 putouts, along with 1,207 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983, ranking 24th in professional baseball, with 94 double plays completed.

Jonah Tong has pitched 43 innings, recording 47 strikeouts in his MLB career. He holds an earned run average of 5.81 (28 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.544. He has given up 45 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and issued 22 walks. With a 4-5 career record, Tong has a FIP of 5.72 and has faced 201 major league hitters.

The Washington Nationals maintain an OBP of .321 and a team batting average of .247 for the season. They have struck out 1,319 times (13th in MLB), accumulating 1,327 base hits. The Nationals have launched 206 home runs and tallied 761 RBIs, with a slugging percentage of .424 and an average of 5.08 runs scored per game (3rd in MLB). They’ve hit 277 doubles and drawn 542 walks, contributing to a total of 803 runs scored.

The Nationals’ pitching unit has conceded 796 runs this season, with an ERA of 4.67 (727 earned runs). They have allowed 210 home runs and average 5.11 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). Their team WHIP is 1.388 and their FIP stands at 4.70 for the season, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.00 (1,245 strikeouts against 587 walks). They rank 26th in total hits allowed, with 1,358 hits surrendered.

The Nationals are 29th in the league with a save conversion rate of 48.1%, having utilized 499 bullpen pitchers this season. Their relievers have appeared 169 times in high-pressure scenarios and 166 times with runners on base. In 163 save opportunities, they’ve registered 76 holds, along with 42 blown saves. Washington has had 81 save situations this year, successfully converting 39 of those into saves. The inherited scoring rate for Nationals relievers stands at 39.2% for 260 inherited runners.

Defensively, the Nationals have completed 133 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in MLB). They have made 1,421 assists, 104 errors, and recorded 4,203 putouts this season. In 12,609 innings played, Washington has a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (17th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Andrew Alvarez has surrendered 104 hits and amassed 127 strikeouts over 131 innings. He has allowed 44 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.236 and a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.19, having faced 548 batters during his career. Alvarez holds a record of 3-7 with a 3.02 earned run average, averaging 7.1 hits per 9 innings pitched.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Back New York (-182)

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Pick: New York Mets (-182)
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