Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves
Event Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025
Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South
Betting Odds: Seattle (-145), Atlanta (+125)
On Sunday, the Atlanta Braves (63-77) will face off against the Seattle Mariners (73-67) at Truist Park. The moneyline for this matchup sees Seattle at -145 while Atlanta sits at +125. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs, with Luis Castillo and Spencer Strider taking the mound.
This season, Seattle boasts a slugging percentage of .410, with a total of 1,245 strikeouts and 468 walks. They have secured 613 RBIs alongside 1,145 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .241. The Mariners have recorded 188 doubles and hit 200 home runs, with an impressive 638 runs scored and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .317. Seattle averages 4.6 runs per game, positioning them 12th in the league.
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The Mariners currently hold a team ERA of 4.04, placing them 17th among MLB teams, and they have struck out 1,193 batters. Their pitching staff has conceded 169 home runs and allowed a total of 627 runs, ranking 18th in the league. They have issued 416 walks, with a FIP of 4.13. This season, Seattle has yielded 1,176 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 566 earned runs, while their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.87 with a collective WHIP of 1.26.
Mariners relievers have faced runners on base 114 times and have made 188 high-leverage appearances, accumulating 77 holds (17th in MLB). Their save conversion rate is 62.1%, having entered 135 save situations and securing 36 saves with 22 blown saves. The bullpen has inherited 127 runners this season, with 25.2% scoring. The Mariners have utilized 470 relievers throughout the season.
The Seattle Mariners have recorded 3,779 putouts, 1,177 assists, and 59 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .988, which ranks 7th in MLB. They have successfully converted 70.1% of balls in play into outs over 11,337 innings, placing them 12th in professional baseball.
Castillo has pitched 1,385 innings in his career, accumulating 1,469 strikeouts. With a career record of 81-84, he possesses a FIP of 3.55 and has faced 5,737 batters. His earned run average stands at 3.60 (554 earned runs), and his WHIP is 1.190, having allowed 1,197 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and 451 walks.
The Atlanta Braves are currently showcasing a team OBP of .320, with a batting average of .244 this season. They have struck out 1,213 times (10th in baseball) and accumulated 1,162 hits. The Braves have hit 158 home runs and tallied 597 RBIs, with a slugging percentage of .394 and an average of 4.41 runs per game (15th in the league). They have also registered 210 doubles and drawn 501 walks, scoring a total of 618 runs.
Atlanta holds a team WHIP of 1.303 and a FIP of 4.23. They rank 16th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,150. The Braves’ pitching staff has surrendered 633 runs this season, including 600 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.36. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (1,199 strikeouts to 465 walks), and they have allowed 168 home runs, averaging 4.60 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).
In 104 save situations, the Braves have achieved 58 holds and have blown 19 saves. Their relievers have participated in 46 save opportunities, securing 27 saves. Atlanta’s relief pitchers have entered 150 high-leverage situations and faced base runners 144 times. Their inherited scoring rate is 38.2% from 191 inherited runners, placing them 24th in baseball with a save rate of 58.7%, having utilized 448 bullpen pitchers this year.
The Braves have executed 94 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in pro baseball). With 1,197 assists, 49 errors, and a total of 3,717 putouts this season, they demonstrate a defensive efficiency of 70.1% across 11,151 innings (13th in baseball).
Throughout his career, Strider has given up 344 hits while achieving 601 strikeouts over 430 innings pitched. With a career record of 37-22, he has a 3.83 earned run average, allowing 7.2 hits per nine innings and 183 earned runs, alongside a WHIP of 1.148 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio stands at 4.01, having faced 1,780 opposing batters.
Who emerges victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, whether against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Opt for Atlanta (+125)
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