Matchup: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Monday, September 8, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Washington (+125) Miami (-145)
The Miami Marlins (65-75) are set to face off against the Washington Nationals (56-83) at loanDepot park this Monday. The initial moneyline for this matchup places Washington at +125, while Miami opens at -145. The total for the game is set at 9 runs, with Cade Cavalli and Janson Junk expected to be the starting pitchers.
This season, the Nationals have collectively hit 229 doubles and launched 130 home runs. They maintain a slugging percentage of .386 and have been struck out 1,123 times, while walking on 398 occasions. On average, the Washington Nationals score 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 24th in Major League Baseball. They have accumulated 565 RBIs and 1,131 hits, boasting a team batting average of .243, alongside a total of 588 runs and an on-base percentage of .308.
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For the season, the Nationals have recorded a team ERA of 5.28, placing them 29th overall. Their pitching staff has struck out 1,070 batters while allowing 180 home runs and giving up 758 runs—again, 29th in the league. They have issued 471 walks, and their FIP stands at 4.66 this year. Washington’s pitchers have given up 1,269 hits (averaging 9.4 hits per 9 innings), allowing 716 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.27, with a collective WHIP of 1.43.
The Nationals’ bullpen features a save percentage of 65.1%, having been called into action in 107 save situations. This year, the bullpen has inherited 231 runners, allowing 38.5% of them to score. They have had 136 appearances with runners on base and engaged in 103 critical situations. Over the season, 494 relievers have taken the mound, accumulating 63 holds (ranking 26th in baseball) and collecting 28 saves out of 43 save opportunities.
This season, the Washington Nationals have tallied 3,658 putouts, 1,187 assists, and 76 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .985, which ranks 20th in MLB, along with 108 double plays turned. They have converted 68.1% of balls put into play into outs over 10,974 innings, placing them 29th in the league.
Cade Cavalli has pitched for 33 innings in his career, striking out 34 batters. He carries an earned run average of 6.22 (allowing 23 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.562. With 42 hits surrendered (an average of 11.4 hits per 9 innings) and 10 walks, Cavalli holds a career record of 2-2 and a FIP of 6.12, having faced 158 batters in the majors.
The Marlins have achieved a team slugging percentage of .392 and score an average of 4.33 runs per game, which ranks 18th in MLB. They have amassed 232 doubles, drawn 420 walks, and scored 606 runs. Miami has connected for 132 home runs with 575 RBIs. They have struck out 1,104 times (25th in the league) and amassed 1,194 hits, posting an on-base percentage of .314 and a batting average of .250 this year.
This season, the Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.310 and a FIP of 4.30. As a pitching staff, they rank 22nd in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,186 hits. They have given up 699 runs, resulting in a collective ERA of 4.70 (with 648 earned runs allowed). Currently, they maintain a K/BB ratio of 8.00, with 1,103 strikeouts against 439 walks. They have surrendered 164 home runs, allowing 5.07 runs per 9 innings, placing them 27th in MLB.
So far this season, the Marlins have 128 save situations, recording 73 holds and 20 blown saves. Miami’s relievers have participated in 54 save opportunities, converting 34 successfully. They have faced high leverage situations 147 times and entered games with runners on base 108 times. Their inherited runner score percentage is 32.5% out of 157 inherited runners. They rank 12th in the league for save percentage at 63.0%, with 434 relief pitchers utilized this season.
The Miami Marlins have executed 93 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in MLB). They have compiled 1,194 assists, committed 72 errors, and accumulated a total of 3,721 putouts over the campaign. Their defensive efficiency is at 69.9% over 11,163 innings, ranking them 14th in MLB.
Throughout his career, Janson Junk has allowed 149 hits, striking out 95 batters in 128 innings. He has permitted 70 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.328 and a FIP of 4.8. With a K/BB ratio of 4.52, he has challenged 544 opposing batters, boasting a career record of 7-5 and an earned run average of 4.92 while allowing 10.5 hits per nine innings.
What are your predictions for tonight’s MLB clash? Will the spread or moneyline favor one team over the other?
Expert Pick by Guy Bruhn: Go with Miami (-145)
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