Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Monday, September 8, 2025
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Broadcast: Padres.TV
Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds (+125) vs. San Diego Padres (-150)
This matchup at Petco Park features the San Diego Padres (76-64) squaring off against the Cincinnati Reds (70-70) on Monday. Betting odds place the Reds at +125 while the Padres are favored at -150. The over/under for this game is set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers for the game will be Nick Lodolo for Cincinnati and Yu Darvish for San Diego.
The Cincinnati Reds have recorded 229 doubles this season and have hit 138 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .393, they have struck out 1,216 times while drawing walks 456 times. As a team, the Reds average 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 13th in Major League Baseball. They have accumulated 598 RBIs and 1,173 hits, leading to a batting average of .248 and 634 total runs scored, with an on-base percentage of .318.
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As for their pitching statistics, the Reds showcase a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and a collective WHIP of 1.25. This season, Reds pitchers have allowed 166 home runs and a total of 607 runs, positioning them 16th in MLB. Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 1,111 hits (an average of 8.1 per nine innings) alongside 544 earned runs. Their team ERA stands at 3.95, ranking 15th overall, with 1,186 strikeouts on the season. They have walked 438 batters and their FIP so far is 4.16.
In relief situations, Reds relievers have faced runners on base 127 times, appearing in 142 high-pressure scenarios. This bullpen has achieved 88 holds throughout the year, ranking 7th in MLB. With a save rate of 61.5%, they have participated in 142 save chances, successfully converting 32 saves despite 20 blown opportunities. This season, they have inherited 189 base runners, with 32.8% eventually scoring. Overall, the Reds have utilized 481 relievers this season.
The Chicago White Sox have managed to collect 3,719 putouts this season, complemented by 1,059 assists and 80 errors. Their impressive fielding percentage of .984 ranks them 26th in MLB, with 90 double plays turned. Meanwhile, the Reds have converted 70.7% of batted balls into outs over 11,157 innings, placing them 8th in the league.
Nick Lodolo, boasting a career record of 23-21, has a FIP of 4.01 after facing 1,647 batters. He has allowed 356 hits (averaging 8.3 hits per nine innings) and has recorded 111 walks. His career ERA is 4.07, having allowed 175 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.206. Over 387 innings, he has struck out 430 batters.
The San Diego Padres have achieved an on-base percentage of .322 and a team batting average of .252 this season. They have struck out 987 times (28th in MLB) and accumulated 1,177 hits. So far, they have hit 122 home runs and driven in 556 runs, with a team slugging percentage of .385. The Padres score an average of 4.23 runs per game, ranking 23rd in MLB, with 227 doubles and 451 walks.
San Diego’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.210 and a FIP of 4.01. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.80, comprising 1,207 strikeouts against 464 walks. They atop the league in total hits surrendered, with 1,032 hits allowed. The Padres have given up 148 home runs and 3.96 runs per 9 innings, ranking 3rd in the league. Overall, they have allowed 544 runs with a 3.66 ERA (503 earned runs).
The Padres’ relief pitchers have a 29.1% inherited runs scoring rate from 230 inherited base runners. They have faced 186 high-leverage situations, stepping onto the mound 161 times with runners on base. Over 153 save opportunities, they have 90 holds and 15 blown saves this season, boasting the best save rate in the league at 74.1%. The team has called upon 496 relievers throughout the season, securing 43 saves from 58 chances.
The San Diego Padres have executed 100 double plays this season, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987 which ranks 11th in MLB. With 1,055 assists, 64 errors, and 3,708 putouts this year, they have achieved a defensive efficiency of 71.8% across 11,124 innings, ranking 2nd in professional baseball.
Throughout his career, Yu Darvish has allowed 1,438 hits while registering 2,055 strikeouts over 1,757 innings pitched. With a career record of 113-93, Darvish has a 3.64 ERA and surrenders 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has permitted 711 earned runs and holds a WHIP of 1.138 along with a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.66, facing 7,223 opposing players throughout his career.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB action against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Cincinnati (+125)
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