- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals
- Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
- Broadcast: Nationals.TV
- Betting Odds: Miami (-144) Washington (+120)
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The Washington Nationals (64-73) aim to secure a victory against the Miami Marlins (68-67) at Nationals Park on Monday. The moneyline sees Miami at -144, while Washington opens at +120. The total runs over/under is set at 8.5, with Tyler Phillips and Will Dion expected to be the starting pitchers.
The Miami Marlins average 4.3 runs per game, positioning them at 20th in the league. With a total of 584 runs, they boast an on-base percentage (OBP) of .326. The team has achieved 211 doubles and 135 home runs, with 558 RBIs from 1,114 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .249. Miami’s slugging percentage is .399, with 1,098 strikeouts and 464 walks recorded.
Miami’s pitchers have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.43 and team WHIP of 1.25, allowing 134 home runs and 572 runs overall—ranking 10th in the league. They’ve permitted 1,025 hits (approximately 7.8 per 9 innings) and 516 earned runs, leading to a season ERA of 3.92 (9th in MLB), while striking out 1,103 batters. Their staff has issued 453 walks, with a team FIP of 4.01.
The Marlins bullpen has a save percentage of 62.5%, participating in 126 save opportunities, achieving 30 saves but failing in 18 opportunities. They’ve inherited 166 runners, with a 22.9% scoring rate. The relievers have taken the mound 115 times with runners on and have made 129 appearances under high-pressure scenarios, accumulating 437 pitching appearances this season. The bullpen has secured 76 holds (11th in the league).
Defensively, the Marlins convert 70.9% of batted balls into outs over 10,665 innings, ranking 9th in MLB. This season, the Marlins have a total of 3,555 putouts, 1,128 assists, and 85 errors, while maintaining a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in professional baseball) and achieving 96 double plays.
Tyler Phillips (9-8 career record) possesses a FIP of 3.80, having faced 927 hitters in the majors, allowing 209 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 76 walks. His earned run average is 3.86 (94 ERs allowed), with a career WHIP of 1.300. Over 219 innings, Phillips has accumulated 166 strikeouts.
The Nationals have hit 190 home runs this year and secured 678 RBIs. Accumulating 234 doubles, they have taken 478 walks while scoring a total of 713 runs. The Washington Nationals have a team OBP of .325 and a batting average of .248. Their slugging percentage is .432, averaging 5.20 runs per game (2nd in baseball). They’ve struck out 1,138 times (14th in the league) and recorded 1,162 hits.
On the mound, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 694 runs this season, with an ERA of 4.67 (631 earned runs). They’ve surrendered 188 home runs and give up 5.14 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Nationals’ WHIP stands at 1.392 with a team FIP of 4.76, carrying a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.80—totaling 1,055 strikeouts against 496 walks. They rank 28th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 1,197 hits surrendered.
Currently, Washington’s save percentage is at 50.0%, ranking them 28th in the league, deploying 430 relievers throughout the season. Their relievers have faced 143 high-pressure situations and have had 140 appearances with runners on base, accumulating 138 save chances. The Nationals have recorded 67 holds and experienced 33 blown saves. Washington’s bullpen has converted 33 saves from 66 save opportunities, inheriting 217 runners with a 41.9% scoring percentage.
Throughout 10,944 innings, the Nationals’ defensive efficiency stands at 69.5% (20th in MLB). Washington has tallied 115 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in professional baseball). They’ve recorded 1,248 assists, made 90 errors, and accumulated 3,648 putouts this season.
Will Dion (0-0 career record) boasts a 4.69 ERA, allowing 11.3 hits per 9 innings, and a K/BB ratio of 8.33 while facing 85 hitters in his career. He has given up 10 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.406 and a FIP of 4.6, allowing 24 hits and accumulating 25 strikeouts over 19 innings.
Who will emerge victorious tonight in the MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Washington (+120) and under 8.5 runs
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