Game: Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians
Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Broadcast: CLEGuardians.TV
Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+125) Cleveland (-145)
The Cleveland Guardians (74-70) are set to face off against the Kansas City Royals (73-72) at Progressive Field this Thursday. The betting line favors the Guardians at -145, while the Royals are at +125. The total runs for this matchup are set at 8. Expected starters for the game are Stephen Kolek for the Royals and Gavin Williams for the Guardians.
The Royals have recorded 253 doubles this season and hit 138 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .390, they’ve struck out 979 times, while drawing 384 walks. Kansas City averages 3.8 runs per game, ranking 28th in the league. They have collectively scored 543 RBIs and accumulated 1,176 hits, holding a batting average of .244 and an on-base percentage of .306.
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The Royals boast an impressive earned run average of 3.67 this season, placing them 4th in the league, and they have recorded 1,141 strikeouts. The pitching staff has surrendered 146 home runs and a total of 564 runs (3rd in MLB). Notably, they’ve issued 430 walks, with a team FIP of 3.95. Kansas City has allowed 1,178 hits this season, averaging 8.2 hits per 9 innings, resulting in 525 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.65, with a WHIP of 1.25.
The Royals’ bullpen has a save percentage of 70.5%, appearing in 139 save situations. This season, they have inherited 201 runners, of which 26.9% have scored. Kansas City’s relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound with runners on base 146 times and faced high leverage scenarios 158 times. In total, 487 relievers have been utilized, resulting in 77 holds this season (19th in the league). They have achieved 43 saves but failed in 18 of 61 save opportunities.
The Houston Astros have accumulated 3,864 putouts this season, alongside 1,274 assists and 57 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .989, ranking 4th in baseball. The Royals have an 8th place ranking in converting balls in play into outs, with a success rate of 70.6% over their 11,592 innings played.
Kolek has pitched a total of 138 innings and amassed 102 career strikeouts. With a career record of 8-5, he holds a FIP of 4.29, having faced 597 batters. His earned run average stands at 4.36 (67 earned runs) with a WHIP of 1.344. Kolek has given up 147 hits, averaging 9.6 hits per 9 innings, and has issued 39 walks.
The Guardians have posted a team slugging percentage of .370, averaging 3.92 runs per game (27th in the league). With 210 doubles, they have walked 439 times and secured 564 runs scored. Cleveland has reported 147 home runs this season and 544 RBIs. They have struck out 1,198 times (17th in MLB) and have 1,065 hits. The Guardians also hold an on-base percentage of .296 and a batting average of .226 this season.
Cleveland’s pitching staff has achieved a WHIP of 1.304 and a FIP of 4.12 so far this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.40 (1,189 strikeouts versus 490 walks). The Guardians rank 13th in total hits allowed, allowing 1,178, and have given up 155 home runs, conceding 4.24 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). Their overall team ERA is 3.87, as they have allowed 602 runs, including 550 earned runs.
This season, the Guardians’ bullpen has been called upon 60 times for saves, successfully converting 42 of those chances. With a save percentage of 70.0%, they are placed 4th in MLB. The bullpen has featured 470 pitchers this year and has been in high leverage situations 165 times, as well as facing runners on base on 133 occasions. The inherited scoring rate stands at 33.3% from 186 inherited runners. With 157 save opportunities, Cleveland has achieved 94 holds and 18 blown saves.
Cleveland has completed 111 double plays and holds a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in MLB). They have recorded 1,190 assists, 88 errors, and a total of 3,837 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency is at 69.5% over 11,511 innings (19th in baseball).
In his career, Williams has given up 257 hits and accrued 306 strikeouts over 308 innings pitched. With a record of 16-20, he maintains a 3.62 ERA while allowing an average of 7.5 hits per nine innings. Williams has allowed a total of 124 earned runs, has a WHIP of 1.304, and a career FIP of 3.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.11, having faced 1,312 batters in his professional career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Selection: Opt for Cleveland (-145)
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