- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-160) Cincinnati (+132)
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This matchup at Great American Ball Park features the Cincinnati Reds (67-73) squaring off against the Milwaukee Brewers (87-53) this Friday. Milwaukee enters the game favored at -160, while Cincinnati sits at +132. The over/under is set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers for the game will be Shane Drohan for the Brewers and Rhett Lowder for the Reds.
The Milwaukee Brewers showcase an impressive slugging percentage of .400, having struck out 1,166 times while drawing 578 walks. They’ve amassed 664 RBIs and 1,221 hits this season, resulting in a batting average of .257. The team has 246 doubles and 130 home runs, leading to a total of 704 runs scored. With an on-base percentage of .340, the Brewers average 5.0 runs per game, ranking them 3rd in the league.
With an ERA of 3.48 (2nd in MLB), the Brewers have tallied 1,340 strikeouts this season. Their pitchers have allowed 147 home runs along with 532 runs (2nd in baseball). The staff has issued 445 walks, holding a FIP of 3.68 for the season. Milwaukee has allowed 1,026 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 484 earned runs, resulting in a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.01 and a WHIP of 1.18.
The Brewers’ bullpen has a save conversion rate of 71.0%, having been called into 138 save situations. They have recorded 44 saves this year while failing to convert on 18 out of 62 opportunities. This season, relief pitchers have inherited 152 runners, with 40.8% of those scoring. The bullpen has appeared in 135 high-leverage situations and utilized 428 relievers throughout the season, earning 75 holds (16th in the league).
To date, the Brewers have recorded 3,755 putouts, 1,102 assists, and 64 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987 which ranks 9th in baseball. The team has turned 105 double plays and converted 71.1% of batted balls into outs across 11,265 innings, placing them 7th in MLB.
Shane Drohan has pitched 110 innings, recording 110 strikeouts in his career. He has an earned run average of 3.76 (46 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.299. He has allowed 106 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and issued 37 walks. With a career record of 7-5, Drohan holds a FIP of 3.70 after facing 466 batters in the majors.
The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .396, averaging 4.15 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have hit 197 doubles, walked 499 times, and scored 581 runs. Cincinnati has also accumulated 186 home runs and 557 RBIs. However, they have struck out 1,329 times (2nd in baseball) and compiled 1,064 hits, leading to a batting average of .228 and an on-base percentage of .307.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.424 and a FIP of 4.71 this season. Ranking 24th in baseball for hits allowed, they have conceded 1,201 hits and 689 runs, finishing with a 4.64 ERA (641 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.20 (1,129 strikeouts vs. 567 walks), having allowed 180 home runs while giving up 4.99 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league).
Through 138 save situations, the Reds’ bullpen has 77 holds and 21 blown saves. They have entered 58 save opportunities, converting 37 of those saves. Cincinnati’s relief pitchers have inherited 218 base runners, with a scoring percentage of 27.5%. They rank 15th in baseball for save rate (63.8%) and have employed 492 relievers this season.
Across 11,178 innings, the Reds maintain a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in MLB). With 96 double plays and a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in the league), they have made 1,125 assists, committed 78 errors, and recorded 3,726 putouts this year.
In his career, Rhett Lowder has surrendered 145 hits and tallied 110 strikeouts across 142 innings pitched. He has a 4.30 ERA, allowing 68 earned runs and holding a WHIP of 1.421 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 1.93, having faced 627 batters throughout his career. Lowder currently holds an 8-10 record.
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Milwaukee (-160)
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