Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Broadcast: Sportsnet
Betting Odds: Baltimore (+172), Toronto (-210)
At Rogers Centre, the Toronto Blue Jays (83-62) are set to host the Baltimore Orioles (68-77) this Saturday. The betting odds indicate Baltimore at +172 and Toronto at -210, with an over/under set at 9 runs. Scheduled to pitch are Tomoyuki Sugano for the Orioles and Max Scherzer for the Blue Jays.
This season, the Orioles have recorded 233 doubles and hit 173 home runs. Baltimore boasts a .401 slugging percentage and has been struck out 1,289 times while drawing 419 walks. As a collective, the Orioles are scoring 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 19th in the league. With 592 RBIs and 1,170 total hits, their batting average currently stands at .240, accompanied by an on-base percentage of .307.
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With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.56, the Orioles’ pitching staff carries a WHIP of 1.37. Their pitchers have allowed 196 home runs and a total of 705 runs (ranking 25th in the league). Baltimore has conceded 1,288 hits (averaging 9.0 per 9 innings) and 656 earned runs, leading to a team ERA of 4.60, positioning them 24th in MLB. They have struck out 1,191 batters and issued 466 walks this season, with a FIP of 4.46.
The Orioles’ bullpen has entered 141 times with runners on base and has made 151 high-pressure appearances. To date, they have secured 94 holds (5th in the league). The relief corps has a save percentage of 63.5%, having completed 33 saves out of 52 opportunities while failing 19 times. They inherited 196 base runners this season, with 25.5% crossing the plate. The Orioles have utilized 486 relief pitchers this year.
The Orioles have converted 68.6% of balls in play into outs across 11,556 innings, ranking 26th in MLB. The team has achieved 3,852 putouts, 1,284 assists, and committed 79 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .985, which places them 19th in professional baseball, including 105 double plays turned.
Starting pitcher Sugano has amassed 143 innings and struck out 96 batters in his professional career. With a career record of 10-8, Sugano has a FIP of 4.46 after facing 620 hitters. His career ERA stands at 4.53 (72 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.348 and 158 hits surrendered (averaging 9.9 hits per nine innings) along with 35 walks.
The Blue Jays possess a .431 slugging percentage and an impressive average of 4.97 runs per game (ranking 4th in the league). The team has achieved 265 doubles, drawn 473 walks, and accumulated 721 runs. They have hit 175 home runs this season and brought in 696 RBIs, enduring 982 strikeouts (30th in baseball) with a total of 1,329 hits. The team’s on-base percentage is .337, with a batting average of .268 recorded this year.
On the pitching front, the Blue Jays have allowed 656 runs with a team ERA of 4.22 (603 earned runs allowed). They have given up 194 home runs and allow 4.59 runs per 9 innings in this campaign (19th in baseball). Their WHIP is at 1.269, complemented by a team FIP of 4.34. The K/BB ratio stands at 9.00 with 1,283 strikeouts against 460 walks, placing them 12th in the league for total hits allowed, at 1,173.
In 153 save opportunities, the Blue Jays have tallied 86 holds and suffered 23 blown saves. Their bullpen has entered 62 save chances, successfully obtaining 39 saves. Relievers have been called upon in 144 high-pressure situations and 156 times with runners on base. Toronto’s bullpen has a 29.5% inherited score rate from their 224 inherited runners. Currently, their save percentage ranks 16th in baseball at 62.9%, with a total of 505 relievers used this season.
Across their 11,583 innings, the Blue Jays’ defensive efficiency stands at 70.1% (13th in the majors). They have recorded 104 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in MLB), supported by 1,112 assists, 81 errors, and 3,861 putouts thus far.
Scherzer (221-115 career record) has a 3.19 ERA and allows 7.4 hits per nine innings. He boasts a K/BB ratio of 4.48 and has encountered 11,931 hitters throughout his career. Scherzer has given up 1,046 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.080 and a FIP of 3.1. Over his career, he has allowed 2,412 hits while recording 3,477 strikeouts in 2,952 innings pitched.
Who will clinch victory tonight in the MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Expert Prediction by Guy Bruhn: Choose Toronto (-210)
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