- Match: Toronto FC vs. D.C. United
- Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Venue: BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: Apple TV
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This Wednesday, Toronto FC (7-12-12) will host D.C. United (8-12-11) at BMO Field in Toronto. The odds favor TFC at -160 compared to the Black-and-Red at +132. The over/under total stands at 3. Luka Gavran will guard the goal for Toronto, while Sean Johnson will be in net for D.C.
Toronto FC ranks 15th in expected goals (xG) with a total of 20.6, while their expected goals against (xGA) stands at 19.1. This season, Toronto has conceded 59 goals, averaging 1.90 goals allowed per 90 minutes, with 164 shots on target faced. The Reds have a goal differential of -15, scoring 44 and allowing 59, and have recorded 4 clean sheets, yielding a 12.9% clean sheet rate. Their save statistics show 105 saves and a save percentage of 64.0%. Meanwhile, they have received 55 yellow cards and 3 red cards, earning an average of 1.16 points per match (36 points total) while ranking 16th in assists with 35.
On the other hand, D.C. United maintains a save rate of 66.7% against 165 shots on target and sits at 27th in the league with 33 points. Averaging 1.1 points per game, United has provided 22 assists and faced 2 red cards. They have netted 37 goals with an expected goal tally of 19.5. Their clean sheet percentage is 19.4%, witnessing 62 yellow cards. D.C.’s goals allowed per 90 minutes is currently at 1.77, and they have made 109 saves, achieving 6 clean sheets along the way. The team has conceded 55 goals, resulting in a goal differential of -18.
Luka Gavran will be the primary goalkeeper for Toronto. With 4,162 minutes logged on the field, he has achieved 157 saves in his career. Throughout 47 starts, Gavran faced 248 shots, with a goals-against average (GA/90) of 1.97 and a save percentage of 63.3%. He currently holds a career record of 10-15-22, with 6 shutouts that give him a clean sheet rate of 13.0%.
For D.C. United, Sean Johnson will take the goalkeeping duties. Over his career, he has conceded 647 goals, making 1,438 saves in 475 matches. His save percentage stands at 69.3%, with a shutout rate of 25.1%. Johnson’s statistics reflect an average of 1.36 goals allowed per 90 minutes, compiling a record of 172-139-164. Throughout 42,726 minutes of play, he has achieved 119 shutouts while facing 2,076 shots.
On the offensive side, Toronto’s key player Daniel Salloi could influence the match’s outcome. Salloi has played 255 matches as a starter, averaging 0.28 goals per 90 minutes. The Hungarian forward has netted 74 goals during his professional minute tally of 23,493 and has contributed 49 assists for a career total of 197 points.
D.C. United counters with Tai Baribo, a player that Toronto’s defense will need to focus on. Baribo has accumulated 162 career points with 10 assists. The Israeli forward has played 10,550 minutes, netting 76 goals at an average of 0.65 goals per 90 minutes, having started in 123 matches throughout his career.
Who will cover the spread in tonight’s soccer match?
Prediction: Bet on Toronto FC (+132)
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