Matchup: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Broadcast: NESN
Betting Odds: New York (-210) Boston (+172)
This Saturday, the Boston Red Sox (81-66) will take on the New York Yankees (80-65) at Fenway Park. The odds for this matchup list the Yankees at -210 and the Red Sox at +172, with an over/under set at 9. The starting pitchers anticipated are Max Fried and Brayan Bello.
The New York Yankees have a slugging percentage of .453 and have struck out 1,292 times while walking 564 times this season. They boast a total of 725 RBIs and 1,217 hits, leading to a team batting average of .248. The Yankees also have 228 doubles and have cleared the fences 246 times, resulting in 752 total runs and a .328 on-base percentage. This season, New York averages 5.2 runs per game, ranking first in Major League Baseball.
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The Yankees have a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and a pitching staff WHIP of 1.27. They’ve allowed 157 home runs and 632 runs, ranking 16th in baseball. New York has given up 1,128 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and has an earned run average of 4.02 (17th in MLB) with 1,286 strikeouts. Their staff has issued 506 walks, with a FIP of 4.03 this season.
New York’s bullpen has a save percentage of 63.8%, managing 147 save opportunities. They’ve inherited 237 base runners this season, with 28.3% scoring. The relievers have been called upon 479 times throughout the campaign, securing 88 holds (9th in the league) and converting 37 saves out of 58 opportunities.
The Yankees have recorded 3,866 putouts, 1,251 assists, and 84 errors this season, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984, placing them 24th in baseball with 96 double plays. They’ve converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs over 11,598 innings, ranking 10th overall.
Max Fried, with a career record of 89-41, has a FIP of 3.02, having faced 4,337 batters. He’s given up 931 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 292 walks. His career ERA stands at 3.06 with a WHIP of 1.154, totaling 1,026 strikeouts across 1,060 innings pitched.
The Boston Red Sox possess a slugging percentage of .425, averaging 4.94 runs per game (5th in MLB). They’ve hit 300 doubles and received 470 walks while scoring 726 runs this season. With 173 home runs and 692 RBIs, they have struck out 1,293 times (3rd in the league) and have accrued 1,284 hits. The Red Sox also maintain a team OBP of .324 and a batting average of .254.
The Red Sox pitching staff has given up 619 runs this year, resulting in a 3.74 ERA (546 earned runs). They’ve allowed 150 home runs and allow 4.24 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). Their team WHIP is 1.291, and they have a FIP of 4.02, with a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (1,218 strikeouts to 479 walks), ranking 20th in total hits allowed with 1,217.
With 147 save opportunities, the Red Sox’s bullpen has 78 holds and 26 blown saves. In save situations, they’ve entered 67 times, securing 41 saves. Their relievers have featured in 173 high-leverage scenarios and on 143 occasions with runners on base. Boston’s inherited runner scoring rate stands at 32.3% from 195 runners, while their save percentage is 61.2%, ranking 21st in the league with 483 relief appearances this season.
Throughout their 11,829 innings, the Red Sox have achieved a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (22nd in MLB). Their fielding percentage is .980 (29th in baseball) along with 119 double plays, 1,335 assists, and 105 errors.
In his career, Brayan Bello has allowed 531 hits and collected 454 strikeouts over 528 innings. With a record of 39-33, Bello boasts a 4.05 ERA and permits 9.0 hits per nine innings. He’s surrendered a total of 238 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.359 and a FIP of 4.0. Bello’s K/BB ratio is 2.43, having faced 2,273 batters to date.
Which team will prevail in this MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Expert Prediction: Take Boston (+172)
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