Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Forecast, 9/15/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Date: Monday, September 15, 2025

Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

Broadcast: MASN

Betting Odds: Atlanta (-130) Washington (+110)

On Monday, the Atlanta Braves (65-81) will visit Nationals Park aiming to secure a victory over the Washington Nationals (60-86). With Atlanta favored at -130 and Washington at +110, the game’s over/under totals are set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers featured will be Spencer Strider and Mitchell Parker.

Collectively, the Atlanta Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking 17th in the league. They have scored a total of 633 runs with an on-base percentage of .317. The Braves have collectively hit 220 doubles and launched 162 home runs. This season, they have achieved 612 RBIs and amassed 1,202 hits, producing a team batting average of .242. Their slugging percentage is .391, with 1,254 strikeouts and 508 walks recorded.

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The Braves have a team ERA of 4.42 (22nd in MLB), with their pitchers striking out 1,260 batters. This season, Braves pitchers have allowed 179 home runs and a total of 672 runs (20th in the league). Their pitchers have walked 487 batters, with a team FIP of 4.27. Atlanta has conceded 1,209 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 635 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.59, with a WHIP of 1.31.

This season, the Braves have deployed 470 relief pitchers, with 200 inherited runners, of which 39.5% have scored. They have collected 29 saves from 49 opportunities, translating to a save percentage of 59.2% across 109 save situations. Their bullpen has accounted for 60 holds so far this year (28th in the league), having entered 149 times with runners on base and 156 in high-leverage situations.

In defense, the Braves have registered 3,879 putouts this season, alongside 1,237 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage stands impressive at .990 (2nd in MLB), completing 96 double plays. They have converted 69.9% of batted balls into outs, ranking 15th in the league over 11,637 innings played.

Strider holds a career win-loss record of 37-23 with a FIP of 3.76, having faced 1,806 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 350 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and recorded 153 walks. With an ERA of 3.82 (185 earned runs), his career WHIP is 1.153. Strider has logged 436 innings, achieving 609 strikeouts throughout his time on the mound.

The Washington Nationals have posted 140 home runs this season, contributing 603 RBIs. They have hit 240 doubles, drawn 410 walks, and scored a total of 626 runs. The Nationals currently have an OBP of .308 and a batting average of .245. As a team, their slugging percentage is .390, averaging 4.29 runs per game (21st in the league). They have struck out 1,183 times (23rd in MLB) and recorded 1,197 base hits.

Washington’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.433 and FIP of 4.71 this season. They feature a K/BB ratio of 7.80 (1,114 strikeouts against 505 walks), ranking 29th in the league for total hits allowed, totaling 1,328. They have given up 190 home runs while allowing 5.61 runs per 9 innings (also 29th in MLB). The Nationals’ ERA stands at 5.30, with 798 runs allowed this season, including 753 earned runs.

Relievers for Washington have a scoring rate of 39.2% from 245 inherited runners. They have logged 111 high-leverage appearances and 144 instances with runners on. The Nationals rank 8th in MLB with a 66.0% save rate, having secured 31 saves from 47 save opportunities this year while their bullpen has recorded 66 holds, alongside 16 blown saves.

Within 11,514 innings of play, the Nationals demonstrate a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (28th in MLB). Their fielding percentage stands at .984 (21st in professional baseball), with 115 double plays executed, 1,244 assists, and 82 errors recorded this season, alongside 3,838 putouts.

During his career, Parker has allowed 319 hits while achieving 233 strikeouts over 304 innings pitched. He has conceded 169 earned runs, producing a WHIP of 1.375 and a FIP of 4.90. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.35, having faced 1,324 batters during his MLB journey. Parker holds a career win-loss record of 15-25 and has an ERA of 5.00, allowing 9.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will prevail tonight in this MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Atlanta (-130)

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